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OBOS-ligaen
Jerv
T U U U S
1–0
Full-time
Notodden
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Notodden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
17%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
50%
86%
Average goals
1,8
3,6
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jerv 10. · Notodden 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 6 6 0 0 +13 18
2 Viking 7 5 1 1 +9 16
3 Sandnes ULF 7 4 3 0 +7 15
4 Ull/Kisa 7 3 3 1 +5 12
5 Mjondalen 7 2 4 1 +2 10
6 Notodden 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Sogndal 6 2 3 1 +3 9
8 Asane 7 2 2 3 -4 8
9 Levanger 8 2 2 4 -6 8
10 Jerv 6 1 4 1 -1 7
11 Ham-Kam 7 1 4 2 -2 7
12 Nest-Sotra 7 2 1 4 -3 7
13 Strommen 7 2 0 5 +1 6
14 Tromsdalen Uil 7 1 3 3 -6 6
15 Floro 7 1 2 4 -12 5
16 Kongsvinger 7 1 1 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jerv Notodden
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Knudsen
63′
A. Lind 🔁
↦ A. Khalili
72′
76′
🔁 A. Hoven
↦ A. Mbedule
77′
🔁 A. Bakke
↦ E. Hustad
L. Ferreira 🔁
↦ T. Zernichow
81′
81′
🔁 Filipe Ferreira
↦ E. Johansen
I. Anthony 🔁
↦ U. Berglann
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
2 G. Andersen
4 E. Knudsen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
6 M. Wichmann
23 A. Hagen
8 T. Zernichow
10 A. Khalili
7 U. Berglann
17 M. Andersen
Bench (7)
69 A. Lind
95 L. Ferreira
5 I. Anthony
1 Ø. Knutsen
11 J. Jenssen
18 T. Collett
33 I. Lidberg

Coach: A. Sandstø

Notodden

1 J. Johansson
14 J. Asp
5 S. Jenssen
2 E. Johansen
6 M. Ledger
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
26 A. Akinyemi
10 E. Midtgarden
20 A. Mbedule
27 E. Hustad
Bench (7)
19 A. Hoven
22 A. Bakke
17 Filipe Ferreira
4 M. Strange
12 E. Vasby
21 K. Tøsse
18 J. Robson

Coach: K. Dokken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.