Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jerv
Elverum
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |
Start
|
11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |
Ranheim
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |
Mjondalen
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |
Ull/Kisa
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |
Levanger
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Asane
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Strommen
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |
Elverum
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 |
Kongsvinger
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |
Arendal
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Floro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |
Jerv
|
10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 |
Fredrikstad
|
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Wembangomo
K. Tønnessen
Coach: A. Sandstø
A. Layouni
Coach: K. Knappen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Jerv
Jerv
Asane
Fredrikstad
Jerv
Jerv
Kongsvinger
Arendal
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.