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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Rosenborg
S U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
55%
27%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
55%
36%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Stromsgodset 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 11 6 4 1 +9 22
2 Brann 11 6 3 2 +14 21
3 Sarpsborg 08 11 6 3 2 +10 21
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Aalesund 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Stabaek 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Molde 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Valerenga 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Lillestrom 12 4 2 6 -2 14
10 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
11 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -3 13
12 Tromso 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Sogndal 11 3 3 5 -2 12
14 Haugesund 11 3 3 5 -3 12
15 Kristiansund 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Viking 11 1 2 8 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Stromsgodset
0–1 J. Glesnes
own goal
8′
1–1 M. Jevtović
M. Vilhjálmsson
16′
18′
🟨 Jakob Glesnes
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Jonathan Parr
2–1 M. Vilhjálmsson
53′
60′
🔁 T. Nguen
↦ K. Tokstad
68′
E. Andersen 2–2
Francisco Júnior
75′
🔁 L. Vilsvik
↦ M. Hamoud
80′
🔁 M. Tagbajumi
↦ Marcus Pedersen
M. Bakenga 🔁
↦ M. Jevtović
87′
E. Reitan 🔁
↦ P. Helland
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
14 J. Bjørdal D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
21 F. Midtsjø M
25 M. Lundemo M
10 M. Vilhjálmsson F
23 P. Helland F
26 M. Jevtović M
Bench (6)
27 M. Bakenga
32 E. Reitan
5 J. Rasmussen
20 A. Gersbach
24 A. Østbø
34 E. Botheim

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
2 M. Hamoud M
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
23 E. Andersen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
93 T. Nguen
26 L. Vilsvik
33 M. Tagbajumi
12 R. Janukiewicz
13 C. Sivodedov
21 M. Gjerstrøm
28 M. Høibråten

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.