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OBOS-ligaen
Nest-Sotra
S U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Aalesund
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nest-Sotra Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 54%
30%
78%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
70%
89%
Both score Ø 69%
70%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nest-Sotra 13. · Aalesund 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 9 7 1 1 +14 22
2 Viking 10 6 1 3 +9 19
3 Ull/Kisa 11 5 3 3 +7 18
4 Sandnes ULF 11 5 3 3 +1 18
5 Jerv 9 4 4 1 +2 16
6 Mjondalen 10 4 4 2 +2 16
7 Sogndal 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Asane 10 4 3 3 +1 15
9 Notodden 10 4 2 4 +1 14
10 Ham-Kam 10 3 4 3 +1 13
11 Kongsvinger 11 4 1 6 -4 13
12 Levanger 10 3 2 5 -5 11
13 Nest-Sotra 10 3 1 6 -4 10
14 Tromsdalen Uil 10 2 3 5 -7 9
15 Strommen 10 2 1 7 -4 7
16 Floro 10 1 2 7 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nest-Sotra Aalesund
1–0 S. Sæthre
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Guèye
↦ A. Waagan
S. Liseth 🔁
↦ A. Dang
75′
84′
🔁 R. Sandnes
↦ S. Fet
B. Torset 🔁
↦ P. Martinsen
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nest-Sotra

1 E. Selvik
5 B. Haugsdal
12 P. Martinsen
4 S. Sæthre
3 K. Bidne
2 E. Larsen
15 J. Furdal
29 K. Stephensen
8 H. Cirak
6 P. Nergard
10 A. Dang
Bench (7)
9 S. Liseth
23 B. Torset
7 M. Bjørlo
11 J. Edvardsen
13 E. Johansen
22 M. Songve
86 A. Rødsand

Coach: S. Landro

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
6 K. Ramsteijn
4 S. Nattestad
22 A. Arnarson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
10 H. Fridjonsson
7 Nenass
17 S. Fet
33 A. Waagan
Bench (6)
14 H. Guèye
20 R. Sandnes
13 T. Omenås
36 E. Solnørdal
32 J. Fylling
31 V. Vik

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.