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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
T T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Raufoss
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
13%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 15. · Raufoss 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 8 7 1 0 +13 22
2 Sandefjord 8 5 3 0 +7 18
3 KFUM Oslo 9 5 1 3 +5 16
4 Start 8 5 1 2 +5 16
5 Ull/Kisa 9 4 2 3 +8 14
6 Raufoss 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 Sandnes ULF 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Kongsvinger 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Ham-Kam 9 3 3 3 +0 12
10 Nest-Sotra 8 3 1 4 +1 10
11 Jerv 7 2 3 2 -2 9
12 Skeid 8 2 2 4 -1 8
13 Sogndal 8 2 2 4 -3 8
14 Strommen 8 0 4 4 -7 4
15 Notodden 8 1 1 6 -8 4
16 Tromsdalen Uil 8 0 1 7 -21 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Notodden Raufoss
A. Ibrahim 🟨
15′
M. Ledger 🟨
24′
28′
🟨 E. Dadjo
Half-time 0–0
G. Salasiwa 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 A. Henningsson
↦ R. Doghman
62′
🔁 M. Heiberg
↦ M. Maigaard
S. Jenssen 🟨
65′
K. Tøsse 🔁
↦ M. Holmen
76′
76′
🔁 O. Løken
↦ K. Nesso
E. Midtgarden 🔁
↦ A. Bakke
78′
J. Robson 🔁
↦ M. Olsen
89′
90′
M. Moldskred 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Notodden

1 J. Johansson
5 S. Jenssen
2 E. Johansen
6 M. Ledger
14 M. Olsen
23 G. Salasiwa
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
9 M. Brekke
20 A. Ibrahim
22 A. Bakke
Bench (6)
21 K. Tøsse
10 E. Midtgarden
18 J. Robson
12 E. Vasby
15 E. Hagen
25 S. Hansen

Coach: K. Dokken

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
2 E. Race
19 P. Bizoza
7 E. Dadjo
22 K. Nesso
6 S. Nilsen
10 R. Doghman
17 S. Owusu
8 M. Moldskred
11 M. Maigaard
18 Ikhsan Fandi
Bench (7)
9 A. Henningsson
15 M. Heiberg
14 O. Løken
4 S. Simenstad
16 S. Giæver
20 G. Simenstad
23 R. Johnsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.