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Eliteserien
Referee: Trond Ivar Dovle
Tromso
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Molde
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 41%
11%
70%
Points per game
0,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
70%
Both score Ø 69%
78%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
0,9
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
6 Offside 8
7 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 16. · Molde 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 10 7 1 2 +15 22
2 Odd 9 7 1 1 +9 22
3 Bodo/Glimt 9 5 2 2 +6 17
4 Valerenga 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Brann 10 5 2 3 +2 17
6 Kristiansund 10 5 2 3 +1 17
7 Viking 9 4 2 3 +0 14
8 Haugesund 9 3 3 3 +4 12
9 Lillestrom 10 3 3 4 -5 12
10 Ranheim 9 3 1 5 -3 10
11 Stromsgodset 9 2 3 4 -2 9
12 Mjondalen 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Rosenborg 9 2 3 4 -7 9
14 Sarpsborg 08 9 1 4 4 -4 7
15 Stabaek 8 2 1 5 -7 7
16 Tromso 9 1 1 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Molde
1–0 Magnus Andersen
Lasse Nilsen
1′
Mikael Ingebrigtsen 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Robert Taylor
Onni Valakari
47′
Mikael Ingebrigtsen 🟨
51′
Mikael Ingebrigtsen 🟥
51′
52′
Ohi Omoijuanfo
penalty missed
Gudmund Kongshavn 🟨
54′
59′
🟨 Martin Bjornbak
59′
🔁 Leke James
↦ Erling Knudtzon
Runar Espejord 🔁
↦ Daniel Berntsen
68′
69′
🟨 Eirik Hestad
79′
🔁 Mattias Mostrom
↦ Kristoffer Haraldseid
Marcus Pedersen 🔁
↦ Robert Taylor
85′
90′
Ruben Gabrielsen 2–1
Magnus Eikrem
Artem Sokol 🔁
↦ Onni Valakari
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

4-5-1
1 Gudmund Kongshavn G
15 Magnus Andersen D
5 Anders Jenssen D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
6 Juha Pirinen D
10 Mikael Ingebrigtsen M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
17 Daniel Berntsen M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
11 Robert Taylor F
Bench (7)
28 Jakob Karlstrom
2 Artem Sokol
9 Brayan Rojas
14 August Mikkelsen
19 Marcus Pedersen
30 Runar Espejord
16 Sigurd Grønli

Coach: S. Valakari

Molde

4-2-3-1
12 Alexandro Craninx G
18 Kristoffer Haraldseid D
2 Martin Bjornbak D
5 Vegard Forren D
4 Ruben Gabrielsen D
11 Martin Ellingsen M
17 Fredrik Aursnes M
19 Eirik Hestad M
7 Magnus Eikrem M
14 Erling Knudtzon M
99 Ohi Omoijuanfo F
Bench (7)
52 Oliver Petersen
22 Christoffer Remmer
3 Christopher Telo
8 Fredrik Sjolstad
16 Etzaz Hussain
10 Leke James
9 Mattias Mostrom

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trond Ivar Dovle · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.