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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Leicester
U T S S T
1–6
Full-time
Tottenham
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
This season — Premier League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 26
5 Shots on target 12
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 11. · Tottenham 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 37 29 3 5 +48 90
2 Tottenham 36 24 8 4 +49 80
3 Man City 37 22 9 6 +36 75
4 Liverpool 37 21 10 6 +33 73
5 Arsenal 37 22 6 9 +31 72
6 Man United 37 17 15 5 +23 66
7 Everton 37 17 10 10 +20 61
8 Southampton 37 12 10 15 -6 46
9 West Brom 37 12 9 16 -7 45
10 Bournemouth 37 12 9 16 -12 45
11 Leicester 36 12 7 17 -10 43
12 West Ham 37 11 9 17 -18 42
13 Crystal Palace 37 12 5 20 -11 41
14 Stoke 37 10 11 16 -16 41
15 Burnley 37 11 7 19 -15 40
16 Watford 37 11 7 19 -23 40
17 Swansea 37 11 5 21 -26 38
18 Hull 37 9 7 21 -37 34
19 Middlesbrough 37 5 13 19 -23 28
20 Sunderland 37 6 6 25 -36 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leicester Tottenham
25′
H. Kane 0–1
Heung-Min Son
36′
Heung-Min Son 0–2
D. Alli
Half-time 0–2
I. Slimani 🔁
↦ S. Okazaki
46′
1–2 B. Chilwell
59′
63′
H. Kane 1–3
Marc Albrighton 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Moussa Sissoko
D. Gray 🔁
↦ Y. Benalouane
66′
71′
Heung-Min Son 1–4
H. Kane
Demarai Gray 🟨
75′
A. Musa 🔁
↦ J. Vardy
78′
78′
🔁 V. Janssen
↦ Heung-Min Son
Danny Simpson 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 F. Lesniak
↦ M. Dembélé
88′
H. Kane 1–5
F. Lesniak
90′
🔁 G. N'Koudou
↦ M. Sissoko
92′
H. Kane 1–6
B. Davies
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Leicester

4-4-2
1 K. Schmeichel G
28 C. Fuchs D
17 D. Simpson D
29 Y. Benalouane D
25 W. Ndidi M
3 B. Chilwell D
11 M. Albrighton M
13 D. Amartey M
20 S. Okazaki F
26 R. Mahrez M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
19 I. Slimani
22 D. Gray
7 A. Musa
36 E. Moore
14 B. Kapustka
21 R. Zieler
27 M. Wasilewski

Coach: C. Shakespeare

Tottenham

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
4 T. Alderweireld D
33 B. Davies M
19 M. Dembélé M
17 M. Sissoko M
12 V. Wanyama M
20 D. Alli F
15 E. Dier D
7 Heung-Min Son F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
9 V. Janssen
44 F. Lesniak
14 G. N'Koudou
13 M. Vorm
23 C. Eriksen
27 K. Wimmer
43 S. Shashoua

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.