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Pro League
Referee: Serge Gumienny
Charleroi
S S T T U
1–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 50%
39%
61%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
32%
46%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
39%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
3 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 8
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Anderlecht 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 28 17 7 4 +35 58
2 Club Brugge 28 16 6 6 +28 54
3 Waregem 28 15 6 7 +15 51
4 Gent 28 14 8 6 +16 50
5 Oostende 28 14 7 7 +17 49
6 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
7 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
8 Charleroi 28 11 11 6 +5 44
9 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Anderlecht
S. Marinos 🔁
↦ S. Willems
20′
1–0 C. Bedia
D. Pollet
27′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 F. Acheampong
↦ Y. Tielemans
59′
Ł. Teodorczyk 1–1
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ D. Dessoleil
64′
Stergos Marinos 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ A. Chipciu
G. Hendrickx 🔁
↦ E. Sağlık
80′
81′
Ł. Teodorczyk 1–2
S. Hanni
84′
🟨 Sofiane Hanni
86′
🔁 I. Thelin
↦ Ł. Teodorczyk
87′
M. Bruno 1–3
S. Hanni
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
25 D. Marcq M
13 C. Diandy M
28 E. Sağlık M
19 Clinton Mata M
10 D. Pollet F
99 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
17 S. Marinos
7 C. Tainmont
22 G. Hendrickx
5 B. Boulenger
14 C. Benavente
35 P. Mandanda
77 M. Fall

Coach: F. Mazzù

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
23 F. Boeckx G
37 I. Obradović D
4 K. Mbodji D
12 D. Appiah D
5 U. Spajić D
11 A. Chipciu F
94 S. Hanni M
25 A. Trebel M
32 L. Dendoncker M
31 Y. Tielemans M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
Bench (7)
18 F. Acheampong
10 M. Bruno
24 I. Thelin
1 Rubén
3 O. Deschacht
14 B. Nuytinck
73 N. Stanciu

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.