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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Sarpsborg 08
U T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Odd
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
11%
78%
Points per game
0,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 14. · Odd 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 11 7 1 3 +14 22
2 Odd 9 7 1 1 +9 22
3 Brann 12 5 3 4 +1 18
4 Bodo/Glimt 9 5 2 2 +6 17
5 Valerenga 10 5 2 3 +4 17
6 Kristiansund 10 5 2 3 +1 17
7 Haugesund 11 4 4 3 +7 16
8 Viking 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Ranheim 10 4 1 5 -2 13
10 Lillestrom 10 3 3 4 -5 12
11 Rosenborg 10 3 3 4 -6 12
12 Stromsgodset 10 2 3 5 -3 9
13 Mjondalen 10 2 3 5 -6 9
14 Sarpsborg 08 9 1 4 4 -4 7
15 Stabaek 8 2 1 5 -7 7
16 Tromso 10 2 1 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
1–0 Jörgen Strand Larsen
Kristoffer Zachariassen
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Marcus Andre Kaasa
↦ Jone Samuelsen
2–0 Jörgen Strand Larsen
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
48′
71′
🟨 Fredrik Berge
Steffen Skalevik 🔁
↦ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
72′
79′
🔁 Tobias Lauritsen
↦ Elbasan Rashani
Kristoffer Larsen 🔁
↦ Jörgen Strand Larsen
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
78 Aleksander Vasyutin G
24 Anwar Elyounoussi D
44 Sheldon Bateau D
6 Nicolai Naess D
16 Joachim Thomassen D
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen M
8 Matti Lund Nielsen M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
11 Jonathan Lindseth M
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
14 Wílmer Azofeifa
18 Sebastian Jarl
19 Kristoffer Larsen
10 Steffen Skalevik
26 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
28 Alexander Ruud Tveter

Coach: G. Bakke

Odd

4-3-3
1 Sondre Rossbach G
2 Espen Ruud D
3 Fredrik Berge D
21 Steffen Hagen D
5 Birk Risa D
6 Vebjørn Hoff M
7 Fredrik Jensen M
8 Jone Samuelsen M
11 Elbasan Rashani F
22 Torgeir Børven F
10 Sander Svendsen F
Bench (7)
12 Egil Selvik
18 Odin Luras Bjortuft
14 Fredrik Nordkvelle
17 Marcus Andre Kaasa
16 Joshua Kitolano
15 Filip Moller Delaveris
20 Tobias Lauritsen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.