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Championship

Referee: Peter Bankes

Rotherham

T U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Burnley

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Championship · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 73%

78%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rotherham 20. · Burnley 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	9	6	3	0	+6	21
2	Middlesbrough	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	Reading	9	4	3	2	+7	15
4	Hull	9	4	3	2	+5	15
5	Birmingham	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Cardiff	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Burnley	9	4	3	2	+2	15
8	Ipswich	9	4	3	2	+0	15
9	Derby	9	3	5	1	+3	14
10	Wolves	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Nott'm Forest	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Sheffield Weds	9	3	3	3	-1	12
13	QPR	9	3	3	3	-3	12
14	Fulham	9	3	2	4	+1	11
15	Leeds	9	2	5	2	-2	11
16	Huddersfield	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Charlton	9	2	3	4	-3	9
18	Blackburn	9	1	5	3	+0	8
19	Brentford	9	2	2	5	-5	8
20	Rotherham	9	2	2	5	-6	8
21	Bolton	9	1	5	3	-6	8
22	Preston	9	1	4	4	-4	7
23	Milton Keynes Dons	9	2	1	6	-5	7
24	Bristol City	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Brighton	4	4	0	0	+4	12
3	Hull	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Burnley	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Cardiff	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Ipswich	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Charlton	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Fulham	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Sheffield Weds	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Bolton	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Birmingham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Huddersfield	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Reading	4	1	2	1	+3	5
14	Blackburn	4	1	2	1	+2	5
15	QPR	4	1	2	1	+1	5
16	Wolves	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Nott'm Forest	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Brentford	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Rotherham	4	1	1	2	-4	4
20	Leeds	4	0	3	1	-1	3
21	Derby	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Preston	5	0	3	2	-2	3
23	Milton Keynes Dons	5	1	0	4	-5	3
24	Bristol City	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Derby	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Reading	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Brighton	5	2	3	0	+2	9
4	Birmingham	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Middlesbrough	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Nott'm Forest	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Leeds	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Wolves	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Ipswich	4	2	1	1	-2	7
10	QPR	5	2	1	2	-4	7
11	Cardiff	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Burnley	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Sheffield Weds	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Bristol City	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Fulham	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Milton Keynes Dons	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Hull	4	1	1	2	+0	4
18	Brentford	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Rotherham	5	1	1	3	-2	4
20	Preston	4	1	1	2	-2	4
21	Huddersfield	4	1	1	2	-3	4
22	Blackburn	5	0	3	2	-2	3
23	Charlton	5	0	2	3	-5	2
24	Bolton	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.