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Championship
Referee: Keith Stroud
Charlton
S U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Rotherham
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,0
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,6
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,0
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charlton 9. · Rotherham 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Hull 5 3 1 1 +4 10
3 QPR 6 3 1 2 +1 10
4 Ipswich 6 3 1 2 -1 10
5 Reading 6 2 3 1 +5 9
6 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 +3 9
7 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 +4 8
8 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 +3 8
9 Charlton 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Nott'm Forest 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Burnley 5 2 2 1 +0 8
12 Leeds 5 1 4 0 +1 7
13 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 +1 7
14 Wolves 5 2 1 2 -1 7
15 Fulham 5 1 2 2 +0 5
16 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Preston 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Brentford 4 1 1 2 -1 4
19 Derby 5 0 4 1 -1 4
20 Bristol City 5 1 1 3 -4 4
21 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 -2 3
22 Huddersfield 5 0 3 2 -3 3
23 Bolton 5 0 3 2 -4 3
24 Rotherham 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charlton Rotherham
38′
F. Rawson 0–1
J. Newell
Chris Solly 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
S. Makienok 🔁
↦ Vetokele
63′
Alou Diarra 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Danny Collins
1–1 P. Bauer
S. Makienok
65′
68′
🟨 Joe Newell
71′
🔁 C. Maguire
↦ T. Andreu
74′
🔁 P. Green
↦ L. Frecklington
Z. Bergdich 🔁
↦ E. Ba
79′
79′
🔁 M. Derbyshire
↦ J. Clarke-Harris
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charlton

30 N. Pope G
20 C. Solly D
5 P. Bauer D
21 M. Fox D
12 A. Diarra M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
3 A. Kashi M
22 E. Ba M
8 J. Cousins M
32 T. Watt F
14 Vetokele F
Bench (7)
9 S. Makienok
19 Z. Bergdich
4 J. Jackson
6 N. Sarr
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
27 D. Mitov
31 M. Kennedy

Rotherham

1 L. Camp G
2 L. Buxton D
3 J. Mattock D
4 D. Collins D
20 F. Rawson D
25 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
8 L. Frecklington M
24 T. Andreu M
33 R. Smallwood M
22 J. Newell M
19 J. Clarke-Harris F
Bench (7)
7 C. Maguire
11 P. Green
27 M. Derbyshire
9 D. Ward
10 E. Ledesma
15 G. Halford
21 A. Collin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.