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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Brighton
S S U T S
4–0
Full-time
Leeds
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Championship · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
53%
31%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 10
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 4. · Leeds 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 34 18 11 5 +26 65
2 Middlesbrough 32 19 7 6 +27 64
3 Hull 31 19 6 6 +31 63
4 Brighton 32 16 11 5 +11 59
5 Derby 33 14 12 7 +13 54
6 Sheffield Weds 32 14 11 7 +15 53
7 Cardiff 34 13 13 8 +7 52
8 Birmingham 33 14 9 10 +7 51
9 Ipswich 33 14 9 10 +1 51
10 Preston 34 12 12 10 +1 48
11 QPR 34 10 14 10 +1 44
12 Reading 33 11 10 12 +2 43
13 Wolves 34 11 10 13 -5 43
14 Brentford 34 12 7 15 -6 43
15 Nott'm Forest 33 10 12 11 +2 42
16 Huddersfield 34 10 9 15 -2 39
17 Leeds 32 8 14 10 -5 38
18 Blackburn 32 8 13 11 +1 37
19 Bristol City 34 9 10 15 -22 37
20 Fulham 34 8 12 14 -5 36
21 Milton Keynes Dons 34 8 8 18 -20 32
22 Rotherham 34 8 5 21 -21 29
23 Bolton 34 4 13 17 -24 25
24 Charlton 34 5 10 19 -35 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -15 Leeds – Brighton 1–2

Match report

Brighton Leeds
Liam Rosenior 🟨
7′
1–0 T. Hemed
18′
1–1 L. Cooper
own goal
22′
2–1 T. Hemed
28′
33′
🟨 Alex Mowatt
Sam Baldock 🟨
34′
3–1 L. Dunk
D. Stephens
38′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 M. Carayol
↦ S. Wootton
57′
🟨 Lewie Coyle
Connor Goldson 🟨
60′
68′
🟨 Liam Cooper
J. Skalák 🔁
↦ S. Baldock
74′
75′
🔁 L. Erwin
↦ S. Doukara
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ T. Hemed
77′
S. Sidwell 🔁
↦ B. Kayal
78′
84′
🔁 L. Murphy
↦ T. Diagouraga
90′
🟨 Charlie Taylor
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Brighton

13 D. Stockdale
23 L. Rosenior D
2 Bruno Saltor D
5 L. Dunk D
17 C. Goldson D
6 D. Stephens M
7 B. Kayal M
15 J. Murphy M
9 S. Baldock F
10 T. Hemed F
27 A. Knockaert M
Bench (7)
38 J. Skalák
21 J. Wilson
36 S. Sidwell
1 N. Mäenpää
3 G. Greer
14 Inigo Calderon
25 B. Zamora

Leeds

1 M. Silvestri G
3 S. Bamba D
6 L. Cooper D
4 S. Wootton D
21 C. Taylor D
31 L. Coyle M
16 T. Diagouraga M
26 L. Bridcutt M
10 A. Mowatt M
23 L. Cook M
11 S. Doukara F
Bench (7)
18 M. Carayol
19 L. Erwin
8 L. Murphy
7 M. Antenucci
24 T. Adeyemi
28 G. Berardi
45 B. Peacock-Farrell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.