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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Blackburn
U T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Middlesbrough
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Championship · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 42%
25%
59%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
28%
31%
Both score Ø 33%
41%
25%
Average goals
1,9
1,9
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 18. · Middlesbrough 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 34 18 11 5 +26 65
2 Middlesbrough 32 19 7 6 +27 64
3 Hull 31 19 6 6 +31 63
4 Brighton 33 17 11 5 +15 62
5 Derby 33 14 12 7 +13 54
6 Sheffield Weds 32 14 11 7 +15 53
7 Cardiff 34 13 13 8 +7 52
8 Birmingham 33 14 9 10 +7 51
9 Ipswich 33 14 9 10 +1 51
10 Preston 34 12 12 10 +1 48
11 QPR 34 10 14 10 +1 44
12 Reading 33 11 10 12 +2 43
13 Wolves 34 11 10 13 -5 43
14 Brentford 34 12 7 15 -6 43
15 Nott'm Forest 33 10 12 11 +2 42
16 Huddersfield 34 10 9 15 -2 39
17 Leeds 33 8 14 11 -9 38
18 Blackburn 32 8 13 11 +1 37
19 Bristol City 34 9 10 15 -22 37
20 Fulham 34 8 12 14 -5 36
21 Milton Keynes Dons 34 8 8 18 -20 32
22 Rotherham 34 8 5 21 -21 29
23 Bolton 34 4 13 17 -24 25
24 Charlton 34 5 10 19 -35 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Middlesbrough
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Akpan
M. Grimes
47′
52′
🔁 A. Clayton
↦ G. Leadbitter
Tommy Spurr 🟨
59′
64′
🔁 G. Ramírez
↦ S. Downing
S. Jackson 🔁
↦ T. Watt
66′
Darragh Lenihan 🟨
69′
E. Bennett 🔁
↦ Jordi Gómez
78′
C. Conway 🔁
↦ M. Grimes
81′
2–0 D. Graham
S. Jackson
83′
86′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ D. Nugent
Simeon Jackson 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Christian Stuani
91′
A. Forshaw 2–1
G. Ramírez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

30 J. Steele G
3 T. Spurr D
22 S. Duffy D
5 G. Hanley D
14 Jordi Gómez M
10 B. Marshall M
21 H. Akpan M
26 D. Lenihan D
16 M. Grimes M
12 D. Graham F
8 T. Watt F
Bench (7)
35 S. Jackson
31 E. Bennett
32 C. Conway
2 A. Henley
9 C. Brown
15 E. Ward
33 David Raya

Middlesbrough

1 D. Konstantopoulos G
5 R. De Laet D
3 G. Friend D
6 B. Gibson D
22 D. Fry D
19 S. Downing F
7 G. Leadbitter M
27 A. Adomah M
34 A. Forshaw M
35 D. Nugent F
9 J. Rhodes F
Bench (7)
8 A. Clayton
21 G. Ramírez
18 C. Stuani
10 C. De Pena
13 Tomás
24 Nsue
26 T. Kalas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 130 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.