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Championship
Referee: Darren Bond
Barnsley
T S
3–2
Full-time
QPR
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Barnsley 16. · QPR 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Norwich 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Fulham 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 QPR 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Brentford 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Bristol City 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Wolves 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Wigan 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Aston Villa 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Ipswich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Derby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Burton Albion 3 1 0 2 +0 3
16 Barnsley 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Reading 2 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Nott'm Forest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
19 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Leeds 3 0 1 2 -4 1
21 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 -6 1
22 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 -2 0
23 Preston 3 0 0 3 -3 0
24 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley QPR
1–0 M. Watkins ⚽
M. Roberts
4′
Half-time 1–0
Marc Roberts 🟨
46′
47′
⚽ T. Chery 1–1
61′
🟨 Grant Hall
S. Payne 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
63′
74′
⚽ S. Polter 1–2
2–2 C. Hourihane ⚽
77′
S. D'Almeida 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
82′
83′
🔁 A. El Khayati
↦ Y. NGbakoto
3–2 J. Scowen ⚽
S. Payne
89′
90′
🟨 Grant Hall
90′
🟨 Nedum Onuoha
90′
🟥 Grant Hall
91′
🔁 C. Washington
↦ J. Cousins
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-4-2
1 A. Davies G
4 M. Roberts D
26 A. Mawson D
2 J. Bree D
7 A. Hammill M
15 M. Watkins M
3 A. White M
8 C. Hourihane M
6 J. Scowen M
40 R. Kent M
20 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (7)
23 S. Payne
22 S. D'Almeida
5 A. MacDonald
10 G. Moncur
11 E. Lee
13 N. Townsend
17 A. Yiadom

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha D
22 S. Caulker D
4 G. Hall D
3 J. Bidwell D
20 K. Henry M
10 T. Chery M
23 Y. N'Gbakoto M
8 J. Cousins M
21 M. Luongo M
17 S. Polter F
Bench (7)
19 A. El Khayati
9 C. Washington
13 M. Ingram
24 J. Perch
25 M. Petrasso
27 O. Shodipo
34 O. Kakay

Coach: J. Hasselbaink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.