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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Cardiff
S T U U T
2–1
Full-time
Blackburn
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cardiff 19. · Blackburn 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Norwich 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Fulham 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 QPR 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Brentford 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Bristol City 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Wolves 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Wigan 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Aston Villa 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Ipswich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Derby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Burton Albion 3 1 0 2 +0 3
16 Barnsley 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Reading 2 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Nott'm Forest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
19 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Leeds 3 0 1 2 -4 1
21 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 -6 1
22 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 -2 0
23 Preston 3 0 0 3 -3 0
24 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Blackburn
0–1 S. Duffy
own goal
14′
0–2 S. Duffy
own goal
20′
Half-time 0–2
K. Harris 🔁
↦ L. Peltier
58′
62′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ A. Stokes
63′
🟨 Shane Duffy
Kadeem Harris 🟨
66′
71′
🟨 Hope Akpan
F. Gounongbe 🔁
↦ A. Pilkington
76′
77′
D. Graham 0–3
S. Gallagher
84′
🔁 D. Lenihan
↦ H. Akpan
E. Huws 🔁
↦ L. Immers
88′
88′
🔁 L. Feeney
↦ B. Marshall
90′
🟨 Shane Duffy
90′
🟥 Shane Duffy
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Cardiff

3-5-2
1 D. Marshall
16 M. Connolly D
2 L. Peltier D
5 B. Écuélé Manga D
4 S. Morrison D
12 D. John D
7 P. Whittingham M
17 A. Gunnarsson M
13 A. Pilkington F
8 J. Ralls M
10 L. Immers M
Bench (7)
24 K. Harris
9 F. Gounongbe
25 E. Huws
11 C. Noone
21 S. Moore
26 K. Zohorè
29 S. Ajayi

Coach: P. Trollope

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
3 G. Greer D
22 S. Duffy D
20 S. Hendrie D
32 C. Conway M
10 B. Marshall M
21 H. Akpan M
6 J. Lowe M
8 J. Byrne M
9 A. Stokes F
12 D. Graham F
Bench (7)
19 S. Gallagher
26 D. Lenihan
7 L. Feeney
23 D. Guthrie
28 C. Mahoney
33 David Raya
34 S. Wharton

Coach: O. Coyle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.