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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Sunderland
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Derby
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sunderland Derby
11′
⚽ B. Johnson 0–1
1–1 L. Grabban ⚽
42′
Half-time 1–1
66′
🔁 M. Vydra
↦ A. Weimann
78′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ C. Martin
James Vaughan 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 C. Bryson
↦ J. Russell
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
2 B. Jones D
23 L. Koné D
15 B. Galloway D
18 T. Browning D
19 A. McGeady M
6 L. Cattermole M
17 D. Ndong M
26 G. Honeyman M
9 J. Vaughan F
11 L. Grabban F
Bench (7)
25 R. Ruiter
21 A. Matthews
24 D. Gibson
27 L. Gooch
29 J. Asoro
16 J. O'Shea
10 W. Khazri

Coach: S. Grayson

Derby

4-3-3
1 S. Carson G
33 C. Davies D
6 R. Keogh D
3 C. Forsyth D
14 A. Wisdom D
44 T. Huddlestone M
18 J. Butterfield M
15 B. Johnson M
7 J. Russell F
9 C. Martin F
19 A. Weimann M
Bench (7)
23 M. Vydra
28 D. Nugent
4 C. Bryson
12 C. Baird
16 A. Pearce
20 M. Bennett
35 J. Mitchell

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.