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Championship
Referee: Darren Bond
Derby
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Huddersfield
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Championship · 42/38 matches
Win Ø 51%
40%
61%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
53%
Both score Ø 45%
31%
58%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 2
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Derby 9. · Huddersfield 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 43 28 8 7 +37 92
2 Newcastle 43 26 7 10 +37 85
3 Reading 40 23 7 10 +7 76
4 Huddersfield 38 23 5 10 +7 74
5 Leeds 43 22 7 14 +15 73
6 Fulham 41 19 13 9 +20 70
7 Sheffield Weds 41 20 9 12 +11 69
8 Norwich 43 18 9 16 +10 63
9 Derby 42 17 11 14 +3 62
10 Preston 43 16 13 14 +5 61
11 Brentford 43 17 9 17 +10 60
12 Aston Villa 43 15 13 15 -1 58
13 Cardiff 43 16 10 17 -2 58
14 Barnsley 43 15 12 16 +1 57
15 Ipswich 43 13 16 14 -5 55
16 Wolves 42 15 9 18 -2 54
17 QPR 43 14 8 21 -10 50
18 Bristol City 43 13 9 21 -7 48
19 Burton Albion 43 12 12 19 -13 48
20 Birmingham 43 11 14 18 -21 47
21 Nott'm Forest 43 12 9 22 -12 45
22 Blackburn 43 10 14 19 -15 44
23 Wigan 43 10 10 23 -16 40
24 Rotherham 43 4 6 33 -59 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Derby Huddersfield
9′
C. Quaner 0–1
M. Cranie
45′
🟨 Rajiv Van La Parra
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 T. Smith
↦ M. Cranie
67′
🔁 N. Wells
↦ R. van La Parra
Abdoul Camara 🔁
↦ T. Ince
71′
J. Russell 🔁
↦ M. Vydra
72′
J. Butterfield 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
72′
Abdoul Camara 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 J. Hogg
↦ J. Lolley
85′
🟨 Michael Hefele
1–1 J. Butterfield
I. Anya
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Derby

4-4-1-1
1 S. Carson G
6 R. Keogh D
16 A. Pearce D
29 M. Olsson D
2 C. Christie D
15 B. Johnson M
10 T. Ince M
8 I. Anya M
19 W. Hughes M
11 D. Bent F
23 M. Vydra M
Bench (7)
20 Abdoul Camara
7 J. Russell
18 J. Butterfield
4 C. Bryson
12 C. Baird
25 M. Lowe
35 J. Mitchell

Coach: G. Rowett

Huddersfield

4-2-3-1
1 D. Ward
14 M. Cranie D
15 C. Löwe D
26 C. Schindler D
44 M. Hefele D
4 D. Whitehead M
17 R. van La Parra M
10 A. Mooy M
9 E. Kachunga M
23 C. Quaner M
18 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
2 T. Smith
21 N. Wells
6 J. Hogg
5 M. Hudson
7 S. Scannell
13 J. Coleman
16 J. Payne

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.