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Championship
Referee: David Coote
Barnsley
T U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Cardiff
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Championship · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
31%
59%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
47%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 16. · Cardiff 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 17 12 2 3 +16 38
2 Sheffield United 17 12 0 5 +12 36
3 Cardiff 17 10 4 3 +11 34
4 Bristol City 17 8 7 2 +10 31
5 Leeds 17 8 2 7 +6 26
6 Aston Villa 15 7 4 4 +7 25
7 Middlesbrough 16 7 4 5 +7 25
8 Ipswich 16 8 1 7 +4 25
9 Derby 15 7 4 4 +4 25
10 Sheffield Weds 17 6 6 5 +2 24
11 Nott'm Forest 17 8 0 9 -2 24
12 Norwich 17 6 5 6 -5 23
13 Brentford 17 5 7 5 +2 22
14 Preston 17 5 7 5 +0 22
15 QPR 17 5 6 6 -4 21
16 Barnsley 16 5 5 6 +1 20
17 Fulham 15 4 7 4 +0 19
18 Millwall 17 4 6 7 +0 18
19 Reading 16 5 3 8 -3 18
20 Hull 17 4 5 8 -2 17
21 Birmingham 17 4 3 10 -16 15
22 Burton Albion 17 3 4 10 -23 13
23 Bolton 17 2 6 9 -16 12
24 Sunderland 17 1 8 8 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Cardiff
Half-time 0–0
T. Bradshaw 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
64′
H. Barnes 🔁
↦ R. Hedges
64′
G. Moncur 🔁
↦ C. McGeehan
74′
74′
🔁 L. Damour
↦ A. Gunnarsson
79′
🟨 Joe Ralls
82′
🔁 F. Gounongbe
↦ D. Ward
83′
⚽ C. Paterson 0–1
90′
🟨 Sol Bamba
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-1-4-1
1 A. Davies G
3 Z. Fryers D
24 M. Pearson D
6 L. Lindsay D
7 A. Hammill M
22 G. Gardner M
17 A. Yiadom D
8 C. McGeehan M
20 B. Potts M
34 R. Hedges M
26 M. Thiam F
Bench (7)
9 T. Bradshaw
15 H. Barnes
10 G. Moncur
2 J. McCarthy
19 I. Ugbo
30 J. Walton
37 J. Bird

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Cardiff

4-4-1-1
25 N. Etheridge G
5 B. Écuélé Manga D
14 S. Bamba D
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
18 C. Paterson M
21 C. Bryson M
17 A. Gunnarsson M
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett F
9 D. Ward F
Bench (7)
20 L. Damour
26 F. Gounongbe
2 L. Peltier
7 L. Tomlin
12 L. Feeney
28 B. Murphy
29 R. Feltscher

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.