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Championship
Referee: Stephen Martin
Cardiff
S S U T S
0–0
Full-time
Millwall
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
62%
31%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 3. · Millwall 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 14 10 0 4 +8 30
2 Wolves 13 9 2 2 +11 29
3 Cardiff 13 8 3 2 +8 27
4 Leeds 14 7 2 5 +8 23
5 Norwich 13 6 4 3 -1 22
6 Bristol City 13 5 6 2 +6 21
7 Preston 13 5 6 2 +6 21
8 Derby 12 5 4 3 +4 19
9 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 +5 18
10 Fulham 12 4 6 2 +4 18
11 Ipswich 12 6 0 6 +2 18
12 Nott'm Forest 13 6 0 7 -4 18
13 Sheffield Weds 14 4 5 5 +0 17
14 Hull 13 4 4 5 +4 16
15 Middlesbrough 12 4 4 4 +3 16
16 Millwall 13 4 4 5 +2 16
17 QPR 13 3 6 4 -1 15
18 Brentford 13 2 7 4 -1 13
19 Barnsley 13 3 4 6 -3 13
20 Reading 12 3 3 6 -3 12
21 Birmingham 13 3 2 8 -13 11
22 Burton Albion 13 2 4 7 -19 10
23 Sunderland 13 1 6 6 -9 9
24 Bolton 13 1 3 9 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Millwall
C. Paterson 🔁
↦ J. Bennett
37′
Half-time 0–0
O. Bogle 🔁
↦ D. Ward
64′
72′
🟨 Ryan Tunnicliffe
L. Tomlin 🔁
↦ C. Bryson
74′
Joe Ralls 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 S. Ferguson
↦ A. OBrien
78′
🔁 T. Elliott
↦ L. Gregory
Lee Tomlin 🟨
88′
93′
🔁 F. Onyedinma
↦ J. Wallace
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

3-4-2-1
25 N. Etheridge G
2 L. Peltier D
5 B. Écuélé Manga D
14 S. Bamba D
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
21 C. Bryson M
19 N. Mendez-Laing F
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett F
9 D. Ward F
Bench (7)
18 C. Paterson
30 O. Bogle
7 L. Tomlin
12 L. Feeney
15 G. Halford
20 L. Damour
28 B. Murphy

Coach: N. Warnock

Millwall

4-4-2
1 J. Archer G
3 J. Meredith D
4 S. Hutchinson D
2 C. McLaughlin D
35 J. Cooper D
14 J. Wallace M
18 R. Tunnicliffe M
23 G. Saville M
20 S. Morison F
9 L. Gregory F
22 A. O'Brien M
Bench (7)
11 S. Ferguson
19 T. Elliott
10 F. Onyedinma
5 T. Craig
8 B. Thompson
12 M. Romeo
16 D. Martin

Coach: N. Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Stephen Martin · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.