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Championship
Referee: Darren Bond
Birmingham
T S S T U
3–1
Full-time
Sunderland
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Championship · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 20%
21%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
21%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
32%
57%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 23. · Sunderland 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 29 20 5 4 +29 65
2 Derby 27 15 7 5 +21 52
3 Cardiff 28 15 6 7 +15 51
4 Bristol City 29 14 9 6 +10 51
5 Fulham 27 13 8 6 +15 47
6 Sheffield United 28 14 4 10 +10 46
7 Aston Villa 25 12 7 6 +15 43
8 Middlesbrough 26 13 4 9 +12 43
9 Leeds 28 13 4 11 +7 43
10 Brentford 29 11 10 8 +6 43
11 Preston 28 10 12 6 +4 42
12 Ipswich 29 12 4 13 +0 40
13 Norwich 29 11 7 11 -4 40
14 Nott'm Forest 28 11 2 15 -8 35
15 Millwall 28 8 10 10 +0 34
16 QPR 29 8 9 12 -11 33
17 Sheffield Weds 28 7 11 10 -4 32
18 Reading 28 7 8 13 -6 29
19 Barnsley 29 6 9 14 -14 27
20 Bolton 28 6 8 14 -20 26
21 Hull 28 5 10 13 -6 25
22 Sunderland 28 5 10 13 -17 25
23 Birmingham 28 6 6 16 -23 24
24 Burton Albion 28 6 6 16 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Sunderland
1–0 D. Davis
J. Maghoma
28′
2–0 J. Boga
J. Maghoma
44′
Half-time 2–0
47′
🟨 Jake Clarke-Salter
Cheikh N'Doye 🟨
52′
3–0 S. Gallagher
D. Davis
54′
58′
🟨 Ethan Robson
David Davis 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 K. LuaLua
↦ J. Maja
Jota Peleteiro 🔁
↦ J. Maghoma
61′
65′
🔁 A. McGeady
↦ J. Clarke-Salter
78′
🟨 George Honeyman
Che Adams 🔁
↦ D. Davis
81′
83′
B. Oviedo 3–1
G. Honeyman
L. Jutkiewicz 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
84′
84′
🔁 L. Gooch
↦ J. Asoro
Jonathan Grounds 🟨
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
13 D. Stockdale G
3 J. Grounds D
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
19 J. Maghoma M
26 D. Davis M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 J. Boga M
18 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
27 Jota Peleteiro
14 Che Adams
10 L. Jutkiewicz
39 C. Trueman
8 C. Gardner
21 J. Lowe
28 M. Morrison

Coach: S. Cotterill

Sunderland

3-4-1-2
25 R. Ruiter G
23 L. Koné D
3 B. Oviedo D
21 A. Matthews D
18 T. Browning D
35 J. Clarke-Salter D
6 L. Cattermole M
26 G. Honeyman M
29 J. Asoro F
28 E. Robson M
20 J. Maja F
Bench (7)
11 K. LuaLua
19 A. McGeady
27 L. Gooch
7 J. Williams
15 B. Galloway
22 D. Love
1 J. Steele

Coach: C. Coleman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.