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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
1–1
Full-time
Leeds
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Championship · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 47%
44%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
78%
63%
Both score Ø 70%
89%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 11
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 10. · Leeds 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 +8 18
2 West Brom 9 5 2 2 +10 17
3 Derby 8 5 1 2 +6 16
4 Sheffield United 9 5 1 3 +4 16
5 Wigan 9 5 1 3 +3 16
6 Leeds 8 4 3 1 +9 15
7 Brentford 9 4 3 2 +6 15
8 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 +3 14
9 Nott'm Forest 9 3 5 1 +2 14
10 Sheffield Weds 9 4 2 3 +0 14
11 Norwich 9 4 2 3 +0 14
12 Blackburn 9 3 5 1 +0 14
13 Aston Villa 9 3 4 2 +1 13
14 Swansea 9 3 4 2 +1 13
15 Bolton 9 3 3 3 -3 12
16 QPR 9 3 1 5 -8 10
17 Birmingham 9 1 6 2 -1 9
18 Stoke 9 2 3 4 -4 9
19 Rotherham 9 3 0 6 -8 9
20 Reading 9 2 2 5 -1 8
21 Hull 9 2 1 6 -7 7
22 Millwall 9 1 3 5 -6 6
23 Ipswich 9 0 5 4 -6 5
24 Preston 9 1 2 6 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Leeds
Matthew Penney 🟨
33′
1–0 A. Reach
S. Fletcher
45′
Half-time 1–1
54′
M. Klich 1–1
T. Roberts
L. Palmer 🔁
↦ A. Baker
59′
Barry Bannan 🟨
72′
73′
🟨 Mateusz Klich
A. Nuhiu 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
77′
Lucas João 🔁
↦ F. Forestieri
81′
90′
🔁 A. Forshaw
↦ Samuel Sáiz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-4-3
25 C. Dawson G
15 T. Lees D
34 M. Hector D
20 A. Reach M
12 J. Thorniley D
42 M. Penney D
24 A. Baker M
10 B. Bannan M
8 J. Pelupessy M
9 S. Fletcher F
45 F. Forestieri F
Bench (7)
2 L. Palmer
17 A. Nuhiu
18 Lucas João
7 J. Onomah
28 J. Wildsmith
37 F. Preston
33 I. Rice

Coach: J. Luhukay

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 B. Peacock-Farrell G
3 B. Douglas M
6 L. Cooper D
18 P. Jansson D
2 L. Ayling D
43 M. Klich M
14 Samuel Sáiz M
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
10 E. Alioski M
11 T. Roberts F
Bench (7)
4 A. Forshaw
34 L. Baker
27 J. Blackman
46 J. Shackleton
15 S. Dallas
47 J. Clarke
20 T. Pearce

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.