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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Hertha
S S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
60%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,4
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

30% Possession 70%
6 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 14
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 4. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Dortmund 5 3 2 0 +12 11
3 Werder Bremen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Hertha 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 M'gladbach 5 3 1 1 +3 10
6 Wolfsburg 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Mainz 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 RB Leipzig 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Hoffenheim 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Freiburg 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Leverkusen 5 2 0 3 -4 6
12 Augsburg 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Nurnberg 5 1 2 2 -6 5
15 Ein Frankfurt 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Hannover 5 0 2 3 -5 2
17 Stuttgart 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Schalke 04 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bayern Munich
1–0 V. Ibišević
23′
Vedad Ibišević 🟨
40′
2–0 O. Duda
V. Lazaro
44′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Joshua Kimmich
52′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ A. Robben
D. Selke 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
53′
63′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ Renato Sanches
M. Leckie 🔁
↦ S. Kalou
71′
72′
🔁 S. Wagner
↦ J. Rodríguez
Ondrej Duda 🟨
90′
Javairô Dilrosun 🟨
90′
D. Jastrzembski 🔁
↦ J. Dilrosun
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kraft G
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
8 S. Kalou M
3 P. Skjelbred M
20 V. Lazaro M
10 O. Duda M
23 A. Maier M
19 V. Ibišević F
16 J. Dilrosun M
Bench (7)
27 D. Selke
11 M. Leckie
32 D. Jastrzembski
24 P. Dárdai
21 M. Plattenhardt
28 F. Lustenberger
33 J. Klinsmann

Coach: P. Dárdai

Bayern Munich

4-1-4-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
32 J. Kimmich D
10 A. Robben M
7 F. Ribéry M
11 J. Rodríguez M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
35 Renato Sanches M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
25 T. Müller
22 S. Gnabry
2 S. Wagner
26 S. Ulreich
5 M. Hummels
8 Javi Martínez
23 J. Meier

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.