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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Welz
M'gladbach
T T T
0–3
Full-time
Hamburg
T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 18. · Hamburg 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 FC Koln 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Leverkusen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 FC Ingolstadt 04 3 2 0 1 -2 6
8 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Hertha 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Werder Bremen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Darmstadt 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Hamburg 3 1 0 2 -5 3
14 Hoffenheim 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Augsburg 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Hannover 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Stuttgart 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 M'gladbach 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Hamburg
11′
⚽ P. Lasogga 0–1
35′
🟨 Albin Ekdal
44′
⚽ P. Lasogga 0–2
I. Iličević
Half-time 0–3
52′
⚽ N. Müller 0–3
J. Drobný
I. Traoré 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
55′
J. Drmic 🔁
↦ R. Brouwers
55′
Tony Jantschke 🟨
58′
M. Dahoud 🔁
↦ M. Stranzl
65′
81′
🔁 M. Diaz
↦ A. Hunt
83′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ N. Müller
Mahmoud Dahoud 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 Cleber Reis
↦ J. Djourou
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

M'gladbach

1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
39 M. Stranzl D
4 R. Brouwers D
24 T. Jantschke D
6 H. Nordtveit D
13 L. Stindl F
28 A. Hahn F
27 J. Korb M
10 T. Hazard M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
16 I. Traoré
9 J. Drmic
8 M. Dahoud
3 A. Christensen
18 M. Schulz
21 T. Sippel
14 N. Schulz

Hamburg

1 J. Drobný G
5 J. Djourou
2 D. Diekmeier D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
7 I. Iličević M
14 A. Hunt M
20 A. Ekdal M
40 G. Kačar M
27 N. Müller M
8 L. Holtby M
10 P. Lasogga F
Bench (7)
21 M. Diaz
23 M. Gregoritsch
3 Cleber Reis
24 G. Sakai
11 I. Olić
9 S. Schipplock
36 T. Mickel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Welz · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.