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Pro League
2–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
0,7
2,6
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
0,7
2,6
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 16. · Club Brugge 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +9 10
3 Oostende 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 St Truiden 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 -2 7
6 Genk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Beveren 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Gent 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 2 0 4 -3 6
10 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Westerlo 6 1 2 3 -4 5
12 Waregem 3 1 0 2 +0 3
13 Standard 3 1 0 2 -6 3
14 Kortrijk 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Lokeren 4 0 1 3 -4 1
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Club Brugge
7′
R. Vormer 0–1
H. Vanaken
Half-time 1–1
1–1 N. Dussenne
J. Michel
58′
2–1 M. Šćepović
61′
64′
🔁 T. Dierckx
↦ A. Diaby
64′
🔁 Leandro Pereira
↦ H. Vanaken
M. Pavlovski 🔁
↦ F. Marquet
75′
Tozé Marreco 🔁
↦ M. Šćepović
77′
80′
🔁 B. Bolingoli Mbombo
↦ Claudemir
N. Aksentijević 🔁
↦ F. Marković
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
24 N. Gulan
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
29 T. Peyre
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
8 F. Marquet
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
30 M. Pavlovski
90 Tozé Marreco
13 N. Aksentijević
9 A. Badri
12 T. Rausin
26 L. Vaccaro
27 Frederic Maciel

Club Brugge

38 S. Bolat
28 L. De Bock
19 T. Meunier
44 B. Mechele
25 R. Vormer
3 T. Simons
6 Claudemir
7 Víctor Vázquez
20 H. Vanaken
9 J. Vossen
10 A. Diaby
Bench (7)
55 T. Dierckx
17 Leandro Pereira
63 B. Bolingoli Mbombo
2 D. De fauw
16 S. Bruzzese
21 D. Cools
46 D. Seys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.