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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Rosenborg
U S T S T
5–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
42%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 34%
42%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 6. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 13 11 2 0 +28 35
2 Molde 13 10 1 2 +26 31
3 Odd 13 8 1 4 +7 25
4 Valerenga 13 6 5 2 +1 23
5 Kristiansund 13 5 6 2 +8 21
6 Rosenborg 12 5 3 4 +7 18
7 Stabaek 13 4 5 4 -2 17
8 Sandefjord 13 5 1 7 -8 16
9 Brann 12 4 3 5 -3 15
10 Stromsgodset 13 4 3 6 -8 15
11 Haugesund 13 4 3 6 -8 15
12 Sarpsborg 08 12 4 2 6 +2 14
13 Viking 13 3 3 7 -9 12
14 Mjondalen 13 3 2 8 -7 11
15 Start 14 1 6 7 -12 9
16 Aalesund 13 1 4 8 -22 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
1–0 G. Åsen
4′
20′
🟨 Bjorn Utvik
25′
I. Coulibaly 1–1
J. Larsen
E. Tagseth 🔁
↦ G. Åsen
26′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 C. Holse
E. Ceïde
62′
3–1 C. Holse
E. Tagseth
67′
D. Islamović 🔁
↦ P. Skjelbred
70′
75′
🔁 S. Jarl
↦ J. Soltvedt
75′
🔁 A. Konte
↦ M. Abdellaoue
75′
🔁 A. Tveter
↦ J. Lindseth
4–1 K. Zachariassen
E. Ceïde
79′
F. Brattbakk 🔁
↦ E. Ceïde
83′
G. Valsvik 🔁
↦ A. Trondsen
83′
86′
🔁 S. Bojang
↦ I. Coulibaly
86′
🔁 A. Jakobsen
↦ O. Halvorsen
5–1 D. Islamović
E. Tagseth
90′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
13 J. Lund G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 E. Hovland D
21 E. Reitan D
5 P. Skjelbred M
22 G. Åsen M
15 A. Trondsen D
18 K. Zachariassen M
14 T. Børven F
11 C. Holse F
35 E. Ceïde F
Bench (7)
20 E. Tagseth
9 D. Islamović
23 F. Brattbakk
19 G. Valsvik
24 S. Tangvik
26 W. Kamanzi
39 S. Skogen

Coach: T. Henriksen

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
31 A. Falch G
16 J. Thomassen M
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss D
4 B. Utvik D
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 J. Soltvedt F
11 J. Lindseth M
26 I. Coulibaly M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 J. Larsen F
Bench (7)
18 S. Jarl
27 A. Konte
28 A. Tveter
2 S. Bojang
70 A. Jakobsen
24 A. Elyounoussi
1 S. Nilsen

Coach: M. Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.