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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Stabaek
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
43%
29%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 8. · Sarpsborg 08 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 8 8 0 0 +24 24
2 Molde 8 7 1 0 +17 22
3 Valerenga 8 4 3 1 +1 15
4 Odd 8 4 1 3 +4 13
5 Brann 8 4 1 3 +0 13
6 Stromsgodset 8 3 3 2 -2 12
7 Rosenborg 7 3 2 2 +5 11
8 Stabaek 7 3 2 2 -1 11
9 Kristiansund 8 2 4 2 +4 10
10 Mjondalen 8 2 2 4 -1 8
11 Haugesund 8 2 2 4 -8 8
12 Sandefjord 8 2 1 5 -8 7
13 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 0 5 -1 6
14 Viking 8 1 2 5 -10 5
15 Start 7 0 3 4 -8 3
16 Aalesund 8 0 3 5 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
M. Lundal 🔁
↦ D. Maatsen
8′
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
39′
1–0 H. Vetlesen
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
J. Soltvedt 1–1
J. Larsen
63′
🟨 Jonathan Lindseth
64′
🟨 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
F. Valenčič 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
69′
R. Gall 🔁
↦ H. Vetlesen
69′
72′
🔁 S. Bojang
↦ O. Halvorsen
72′
🔁 S. Jarl
↦ I. Coulibaly
82′
🔁 M. Ofkir
↦ J. Soltvedt
K. Kinoshita 🔁
↦ M. Lundal
85′
87′
🔁 M. Abdellaoue
↦ J. Larsen
Kosuke Kinoshita 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
12 M. Sandberg G
5 M. Solheim D
26 E. Jonassen D
2 J. Øveraas D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
67 T. Lumanza M
8 E. Bohinen M
25 H. Vetlesen M
11 K. Hansen M
9 D. Maatsen F
23 O. Edvardsen M
Bench (7)
21 M. Lundal
72 F. Valenčič
10 R. Gall
19 K. Kinoshita
30 P. Vogt
27 N. Jenssen
84 J. Brauti

Coach: J. Jönsson

Sarpsborg 08

5-4-1
33 D. Mitov-Nilsson G
16 J. Thomassen D
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss D
4 B. Utvik D
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 J. Soltvedt M
14 A. Salétros M
11 J. Lindseth D
26 I. Coulibaly M
10 J. Larsen F
Bench (7)
2 S. Bojang
18 S. Jarl
8 M. Ofkir
30 M. Abdellaoue
28 A. Tveter
31 A. Falch
70 A. Jakobsen

Coach: M. Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.