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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Schalke 04
U U S S T
2–1
Full-time
M'gladbach
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 48%
46%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
58%
81%
Both score Ø 60%
58%
62%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 5. · M'gladbach 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 26 21 3 2 +51 66
2 Dortmund 26 19 4 3 +36 61
3 Hertha 26 13 6 7 +9 45
4 M'gladbach 26 13 3 10 +11 42
5 Schalke 04 26 12 5 9 +3 41
6 Mainz 26 12 4 10 +2 40
7 Leverkusen 26 11 6 9 +4 39
8 Wolfsburg 26 10 7 9 +5 37
9 FC Koln 26 8 9 9 -5 33
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 26 8 9 9 -7 33
11 Stuttgart 26 9 5 12 -9 32
12 Hamburg 26 8 7 11 -5 31
13 Augsburg 26 6 9 11 -8 27
14 Darmstadt 26 6 9 11 -13 27
15 Werder Bremen 26 7 6 13 -18 27
16 Ein Frankfurt 26 5 9 12 -15 24
17 Hoffenheim 26 5 9 12 -15 24
18 Hannover 26 5 2 19 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 M'gladbach
Half-time 0–1
0–1 M. Hinteregger
own goal
59′
D. Aogo 🔁
↦ A. Schöpf
61′
Sead Kolašinac 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 I. Traoré
↦ F. Johnson
75′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ M. Dahoud
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
76′
79′
A. Christensen 0–2
L. Stindl
81′
🔁 A. Hahn
↦ T. Hazard
1–2 L. Goretzka
L. Sané
83′
M. Friedrich 🔁
↦ L. Sané
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
27 S. Riether D
32 J. Matip D
6 S. Kolašinac D
33 R. Neustädter D
23 P. Højbjerg M
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
21 A. Schöpf M
19 L. Sané F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
15 D. Aogo
11 Y. Belhanda
2 M. Friedrich
5 J. Geis
13 E. Choupo-Moting
25 K. Huntelaar
34 F. Giefer

M'gladbach

1 Y. Sommer G
5 M. Hinteregger D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
6 H. Nordtveit D
19 F. Johnson M
13 L. Stindl F
34 G. Xhaka M
10 T. Hazard M
8 M. Dahoud M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
16 I. Traoré
7 P. Herrmann
28 A. Hahn
4 R. Brouwers
21 T. Sippel
23 J. Hofmann
27 J. Korb

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.