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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Welz
M'gladbach
T S T S U
4–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
78%
70%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
3,7
3,4
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 4. · Stuttgart 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 20 2 1 +47 62
2 Dortmund 23 17 3 3 +32 54
3 Hertha 23 11 6 6 +7 39
4 M'gladbach 23 11 3 9 +5 36
5 Mainz 23 11 3 9 +3 36
6 Leverkusen 23 10 5 8 +6 35
7 Schalke 04 23 10 5 8 +2 35
8 Wolfsburg 24 9 7 8 +5 34
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 24 8 7 9 -7 31
10 FC Koln 24 7 9 8 -5 30
11 Hamburg 23 7 7 9 -5 28
12 Stuttgart 23 8 4 11 -9 28
13 Augsburg 23 6 7 10 -7 25
14 Darmstadt 23 6 7 10 -11 25
15 Ein Frankfurt 23 5 8 10 -10 23
16 Werder Bremen 23 5 6 12 -19 21
17 Hoffenheim 23 3 9 11 -13 18
18 Hannover 24 5 2 17 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Stuttgart
1–0 T. Hazard
F. Johnson
16′
M. Hinteregger 🔁
↦ O. Wendt
28′
44′
🟨 Serey Dié
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Rupp
↦ S. Dié
46′
🔁 A. Kravets
↦ T. Werner
Thorgan Hazard 🟨
54′
2–0 Raffael
60′
67′
🔁 A. Maxim
↦ C. Gentner
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
68′
3–0 P. Herrmann
M. Dahoud
68′
J. Korb 🔁
↦ M. Dahoud
82′
83′
🟨 Martin Harnik
3–1 K. Großkreutz
own goal
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
6 H. Nordtveit D
19 F. Johnson M
13 L. Stindl F
34 G. Xhaka M
10 T. Hazard M
8 M. Dahoud M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
5 M. Hinteregger
7 P. Herrmann
27 J. Korb
16 I. Traoré
21 T. Sippel
23 J. Hofmann
31 B. Hrgota

Stuttgart

22 P. Tytoń
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Schwaab D
6 G. Niedermeier D
20 C. Gentner M
26 S. Dié M
15 K. Großkreutz D
10 D. Didavi M
7 M. Harnik F
18 F. Kostić M
19 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
8 L. Rupp
23 A. Kravets
44 A. Maxim
4 T. Šunjić
14 P. Heise
16 F. Klein
1 M. Langerak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Welz · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.