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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
RB Leipzig
T S T U S
2–0
Full-time
Augsburg
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
48%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
62%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
24 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Augsburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 21 17 2 2 +35 53
2 Leverkusen 21 9 8 4 +14 35
3 RB Leipzig 21 10 5 6 +4 35
4 Dortmund 21 9 7 5 +16 34
5 Schalke 04 21 9 7 5 +6 34
6 Ein Frankfurt 21 9 6 6 +3 33
7 Augsburg 21 8 7 6 +6 31
8 M'gladbach 21 9 4 8 -3 31
9 Hoffenheim 21 7 7 7 -1 28
10 Hannover 21 7 7 7 -2 28
11 Hertha 21 6 9 6 +0 27
12 Freiburg 21 5 10 6 -13 25
13 Wolfsburg 21 4 12 5 -1 24
14 Stuttgart 21 6 3 12 -10 21
15 Werder Bremen 21 4 8 9 -8 20
16 Mainz 21 5 5 11 -13 20
17 Hamburg 21 4 5 12 -13 17
18 FC Koln 21 3 4 14 -20 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Augsburg
9′
🟨 Raphael Framberger
1–0 D. Upamecano
17′
23′
🟨 Rani Khedira
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Schmid
↦ M. Heller
2–0 N. Keïta
70′
76′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ M. Gregoritsch
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ N. Keïta
79′
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ Y. Poulsen
84′
87′
🔁 J. Morávek
↦ Caiuby
D. Kaiser 🔁
↦ Bruma
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
32 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
5 D. Upamecano D
13 S. Ilsanker M
44 K. Kampl M
17 Bruma M
27 K. Laimer D
8 N. Keïta M
9 Y. Poulsen F
11 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
18 A. Lookman
29 J. Augustin
24 D. Kaiser
3 Bernardo
6 I. Konaté
20 B. Schmitz
28 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
31 P. Max D
32 R. Framberger D
38 K. Danso D
7 M. Heller M
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
8 R. Khedira M
Bench (7)
17 J. Schmid
21 S. Córdova
14 J. Morávek
1 A. Luthe
9 S. Parker
16 C. Janker
20 G. Kačar

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.