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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Ath Bilbao
S U U U T
0–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
27%
23%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
32%
59%
Both score Ø 41%
45%
36%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,1
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 29
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 13. · Las Palmas 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 22 18 4 0 +49 58
2 Ath Madrid 22 14 7 1 +24 49
3 Valencia 22 12 4 6 +16 40
4 Real Madrid 21 11 6 4 +24 39
5 Villarreal 22 11 4 7 +7 37
6 Sevilla 22 10 3 9 -6 33
7 Eibar 22 9 5 8 -3 32
8 Celta 22 9 4 9 +7 31
9 Girona 22 8 7 7 +2 31
10 Betis 22 9 3 10 -8 30
11 Getafe 22 7 8 7 +5 29
12 Leganes 21 8 5 8 -1 29
13 Ath Bilbao 22 6 9 7 -1 27
14 Sociedad 22 7 5 10 +1 26
15 Espanol 22 6 7 9 -10 25
16 Alaves 22 7 1 14 -13 22
17 Levante 22 3 11 8 -12 20
18 La Coruna 22 4 5 13 -27 17
19 Las Palmas 22 5 2 15 -33 17
20 Malaga 22 3 4 15 -21 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Las Palmas
Aritz Aduriz 🟨
12′
12′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
33′
🔁 Tana
↦ H. Toledo
41′
🟨 Jonathan Calleri
Half-time 0–0
Enric Saborit 🟨
51′
Kepa Arrizabalaga 🟨
52′
59′
🟨 Michel Macedo
Beñat 🔁
↦ Iturraspe
63′
68′
🔁 A. Aquilani
↦ Nacho Gil
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Susaeta
73′
Raúl García 🟨
77′
79′
🟨 Leandro Chichizola
Lekue 🔁
↦ Saborit
83′
89′
🔁 Bigas
↦ J. Calleri
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Kepa G
18 De Marcos D
3 Saborit D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
8 Iturraspe M
17 Mikel Rico M
20 Aduriz F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
7 Beñat
28 Iñigo Córdoba
15 Lekue
6 San José
12 Unai Núñez
13 Iago Herrerín
23 Ager Aketxe

Coach: José Ángel Ziganda

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 L. Chichizola G
12 Míchel D
3 M. Aguirregaray D
20 Alejandro Gálvez D
22 Ximo Navarro D
7 G. Peñalba M
21 Jonathan Viera M
6 O. Etebo M
15 Nacho Gil M
9 J. Calleri F
19 H. Toledo M
Bench (7)
24 Tana
25 A. Aquilani
17 Bigas
1 Raúl Lizoáin
8 A. Halilović
16 Jairo Samperio
23 Dani Castellano

Coach: Paco Jémez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.