La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ath Bilbao
Las Palmas
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | +49 | 58 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | +24 | 49 |
| 3 |
Valencia
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +16 | 40 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 39 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 37 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 33 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Celta
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | +7 | 31 |
| 9 |
Girona
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +2 | 31 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +5 | 29 |
| 12 |
Leganes
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 |
Ath Bilbao
|
22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 14 |
Sociedad
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | +1 | 26 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 22 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -12 | 20 |
| 18 |
La Coruna
|
22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -27 | 17 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | -21 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Kepa
G
Yeray Álvarez
D
Iñaki Williams
F
Coach: José Ángel Ziganda
L. Chichizola
G
Ximo Navarro
D
O. Etebo
M
Nacho Gil
M
Coach: Paco Jémez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Girona
Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao
Eibar
Getafe
Ath Bilbao
Espanol
Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao
Alaves
Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.