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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Union Berlin
U
0–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 1/35 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
100%
63%
Both score Ø 73%
100%
46%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 34 24 6 4 +56 78
2 Dortmund 34 23 7 4 +37 76
3 RB Leipzig 34 19 9 6 +34 66
4 Leverkusen 34 18 4 12 +17 58
5 M'gladbach 34 16 7 11 +13 55
6 Wolfsburg 34 16 7 11 +12 55
7 Ein Frankfurt 34 15 9 10 +12 54
8 Werder Bremen 34 14 11 9 +9 53
9 Hoffenheim 34 13 12 9 +18 51
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 34 13 5 16 -16 44
11 Hertha 34 11 10 13 -8 43
12 Mainz 34 12 7 15 -11 43
13 Freiburg 34 8 12 14 -15 36
14 Schalke 04 34 8 9 17 -18 33
15 Augsburg 34 8 8 18 -20 32
16 Stuttgart 35 7 8 20 -38 29
17 Hannover 34 5 6 23 -40 21
18 Nurnberg 34 3 10 21 -42 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. May -19 Stuttgart – Union Berlin 2–2

Match report

Union Berlin Stuttgart
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Mario Gómez
↦ Nicolás González
Manuel Schmiedebach 🟨
51′
60′
🔁 Daniel Didavi
↦ Anastasios Donis
Joshua Mees 🔁
↦ Marcel Hartel
65′
68′
🔁 Gonzalo Castro
↦ Steven Zuber
72′
🟨 Christian Gentner
Akaki Gogia 🔁
↦ Suleiman Abdullahi
82′
Marvin Friedrich 🟨
90′
Michael Parensen 🔁
↦ Robert Žulj
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Union Berlin

4-5-1
1 Rafał Gikiewicz G
6 Julian Ryerson D
5 Marvin Friedrich D
19 Florian Hübner D
14 Ken Reichel D
20 Suleiman Abdullahi M
21 Grischa Prömel M
24 Manuel Schmiedebach M
32 Robert Žulj M
7 Marcel Hartel M
10 Sebastian Andersson F
Bench (7)
12 Jakob Busk
18 Nicolai Rapp
25 Christopher Lenz
8 Joshua Mees
29 Michael Parensen
11 Akaki Gogia
9 Sebastian Polter

Coach: U. Fischer

Stuttgart

4-1-3-2
1 Ron-Robert Zieler G
21 Benjamin Pavard D
18 Ozan Kabak D
28 Holger Badstuber D
3 Dennis Aogo D
6 Santiago Ascacibar M
20 Christian Gentner M
19 Chadrac Akolo M
9 Steven Zuber M
11 Anastasios Donis F
22 Nicolás González F
Bench (7)
13 Jens Grahl
5 Timo Baumgartl
2 Emiliano Insúa
14 Alexander Esswein
8 Gonzalo Castro
10 Daniel Didavi
27 Mario Gómez

Coach: N. Willig

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.