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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Stuttgart

U T U T T

1–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

57%

Both score Ø 49%

47%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%

13 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 7

4 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 16. · M'gladbach 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	22	4	4	+50	70
2	Dortmund	31	21	6	4	+34	69
3	RB Leipzig	31	19	7	5	+35	64
4	Ein Frankfurt	31	15	9	7	+23	54
5	M'gladbach	30	15	6	9	+12	51
6	Leverkusen	31	16	3	12	+8	51
7	Hoffenheim	30	13	11	6	+24	50
8	Werder Bremen	31	12	10	9	+7	46
9	Wolfsburg	30	13	7	10	+3	46
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	12	4	15	-16	40
11	Hertha	31	9	10	12	-7	37
12	Mainz	31	10	6	15	-15	36
13	Freiburg	31	7	11	13	-16	32
14	Augsburg	31	8	7	16	-12	31
15	Schalke 04	31	8	6	17	-18	30
16	Stuttgart	30	5	6	19	-40	21
17	Nurnberg	30	3	9	18	-32	18
18	Hannover	31	4	6	21	-40	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	16	13	2	1	+26	41
2	Bayern Munich	15	11	3	1	+29	36
3	RB Leipzig	16	10	5	1	+25	35
4	M'gladbach	15	9	2	4	+11	29
5	Ein Frankfurt	16	8	4	4	+13	28
6	Hoffenheim	15	7	5	3	+12	26
7	Werder Bremen	15	7	5	3	+8	26
8	Mainz	15	7	4	4	+7	25
9	Leverkusen	15	8	1	6	+2	25
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	0	8	-2	24
11	Wolfsburg	15	6	5	4	+4	23
12	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	+1	21
13	Hertha	15	5	6	4	+1	21
14	Augsburg	16	5	4	7	+2	19
15	Stuttgart	15	4	4	7	-9	16
16	Nurnberg	15	3	6	6	-2	15
17	Schalke 04	15	4	1	10	-12	13
18	Hannover	16	4	1	11	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+21	34
2	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	+10	29
3	Dortmund	15	8	4	3	+8	28
4	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	5	3	+10	26
5	Leverkusen	16	8	2	6	+6	26
6	Hoffenheim	15	6	6	3	+12	24
7	Wolfsburg	15	7	2	6	-1	23
8	M'gladbach	15	6	4	5	+1	22
9	Werder Bremen	16	5	5	6	-1	20
10	Schalke 04	16	4	5	7	-6	17
11	Hertha	16	4	4	8	-8	16
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	4	7	-14	16
13	Augsburg	15	3	3	9	-14	12
14	Freiburg	16	2	5	9	-17	11
15	Mainz	16	3	2	11	-22	11
16	Hannover	15	0	5	10	-26	5
17	Stuttgart	15	1	2	12	-31	5
18	Nurnberg	15	0	3	12	-30	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.