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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Heidenheim

S U S T U

2–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 1/35 matches

Win Ø 12%

23%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

66%

Both score Ø 27%

54%

Average goals

0,0

3,2

Scored

0,0

1,2

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

10 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 8

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	34	26	4	4	+68	82
2	Dortmund	34	21	6	7	+43	69
3	RB Leipzig	34	18	12	4	+44	66
4	M'gladbach	34	20	5	9	+26	65
5	Leverkusen	34	19	6	9	+17	63
6	Hoffenheim	34	15	7	12	+0	52
7	Wolfsburg	34	13	10	11	+2	49
8	Freiburg	34	13	9	12	+1	48
9	Ein Frankfurt	34	13	6	15	-1	45
10	Hertha	34	11	8	15	-11	41
11	Union Berlin	34	12	5	17	-17	41
12	Schalke 04	34	9	12	13	-20	39
13	Mainz	34	11	4	19	-21	37
14	FC Koln	34	10	6	18	-18	36
15	Augsburg	34	9	9	16	-18	36
16	Werder Bremen	35	8	8	19	-27	32
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	34	6	12	16	-31	30
18	Paderborn	34	4	8	22	-37	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	2	2	+38	41
2	M'gladbach	17	12	2	3	+19	38
3	Dortmund	17	11	3	3	+29	36
4	Leverkusen	17	9	4	4	+10	31
5	RB Leipzig	17	7	8	2	+17	29
6	Freiburg	17	9	2	6	+6	29
7	Ein Frankfurt	17	8	4	5	+9	28
8	Union Berlin	17	8	3	6	+4	27
9	FC Koln	17	6	4	7	+1	22
10	Schalke 04	17	5	7	5	-7	22
11	Hoffenheim	17	7	1	9	-11	22
12	Hertha	17	6	3	8	-9	21
13	Augsburg	17	5	5	7	-1	20
14	Wolfsburg	17	4	7	6	-4	19
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	4	6	7	-10	18
16	Mainz	17	5	2	10	-11	17
17	Werder Bremen	18	2	4	12	-21	10
18	Paderborn	17	2	2	13	-25	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	2	2	+30	41
2	RB Leipzig	17	11	4	2	+27	37
3	Dortmund	17	10	3	4	+14	33
4	Leverkusen	17	10	2	5	+7	32
5	Hoffenheim	17	8	6	3	+11	30
6	Wolfsburg	17	9	3	5	+6	30
7	M'gladbach	17	8	3	6	+7	27
8	Werder Bremen	17	6	4	7	-6	22
9	Hertha	17	5	5	7	-2	20
10	Mainz	17	6	2	9	-10	20
11	Freiburg	17	4	7	6	-5	19
12	Ein Frankfurt	17	5	2	10	-10	17
13	Schalke 04	17	4	5	8	-13	17
14	Augsburg	17	4	4	9	-17	16
15	FC Koln	17	4	2	11	-19	14
16	Union Berlin	17	4	2	11	-21	14
17	Paderborn	17	2	6	9	-12	12
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	2	6	9	-21	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.