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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Sevilla

U U U U S

1–0

Full-time

Eibar

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 36%

45%

27%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

39%

55%

Both score Ø 52%

55%

48%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

8 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Eibar 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	34	23	8	3	+41	77
2	Barcelona	34	22	7	5	+42	73
3	Ath Madrid	34	16	14	4	+21	62
4	Sevilla	33	15	12	6	+15	57
5	Villarreal	34	16	6	12	+10	54
6	Getafe	34	14	11	9	+11	53
7	Sociedad	34	15	6	13	+8	51
8	Ath Bilbao	34	12	12	10	+9	48
9	Granada	34	13	8	13	+2	47
10	Valencia	34	12	11	11	-7	47
11	Osasuna	34	11	12	11	-7	45
12	Levante	34	12	7	15	-5	43
13	Valladolid	34	8	15	11	-9	39
14	Betis	34	9	11	14	-11	38
15	Celta	34	7	14	13	-10	35
16	Eibar	33	9	8	16	-16	35
17	Alaves	34	9	8	17	-19	35
18	Mallorca	34	8	5	21	-24	29
19	Leganes	34	6	10	18	-24	28
20	Espanol	34	5	9	20	-27	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	15	2	0	+36	47
2	Real Madrid	17	13	4	0	+26	43
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	5	1	+16	38
4	Valencia	17	9	7	1	+11	34
5	Ath Bilbao	17	9	4	4	+10	31
6	Sociedad	17	9	3	5	+14	30
7	Getafe	17	8	6	3	+9	30
8	Granada	17	9	3	5	+7	30
9	Villarreal	17	8	5	4	+9	29
10	Levante	17	8	5	4	+8	29
11	Sevilla	16	7	7	2	+8	28
12	Betis	17	8	4	5	+5	28
13	Alaves	17	7	5	5	+6	26
14	Mallorca	17	7	3	7	+2	24
15	Osasuna	17	6	6	5	-4	24
16	Eibar	17	7	2	8	-2	23
17	Celta	17	5	7	5	+3	22
18	Valladolid	17	4	10	3	+2	22
19	Leganes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Espanol	17	2	5	10	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	4	3	+15	34
2	Sevilla	17	8	5	4	+7	29
3	Barcelona	17	7	5	5	+6	26
4	Villarreal	17	8	1	8	+1	25
5	Ath Madrid	17	5	9	3	+5	24
6	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+2	23
7	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	Sociedad	17	6	3	8	-6	21
9	Ath Bilbao	17	3	8	6	-1	17
10	Granada	17	4	5	8	-5	17
11	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-11	17
12	Levante	17	4	2	11	-13	14
13	Celta	17	2	7	8	-13	13
14	Espanol	17	3	4	10	-13	13
15	Valencia	17	3	4	10	-18	13
16	Eibar	16	2	6	8	-14	12
17	Leganes	17	2	6	9	-14	12
18	Betis	17	1	7	9	-16	10
19	Alaves	17	2	3	12	-25	9
20	Mallorca	17	1	2	14	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.