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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Sp Gijon
T T S T T
1–2
Full-time
Getafe
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
24%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
47%
Both score Ø 43%
44%
41%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 18. · Getafe 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 18 13 2 3 +17 41
2 Barcelona 17 12 3 2 +25 39
3 Real Madrid 18 11 4 3 +29 37
4 Villarreal 18 11 3 4 +8 36
5 Celta 18 9 4 5 +3 31
6 Ath Bilbao 18 8 4 6 +7 28
7 La Coruna 18 6 9 3 +8 27
8 Eibar 18 7 6 5 +6 27
9 Sevilla 18 7 5 6 +3 26
10 Valencia 18 5 8 5 +6 23
11 Malaga 18 6 5 7 -1 23
12 Espanol 18 6 3 9 -12 21
13 Betis 18 5 5 8 -14 20
14 Sociedad 18 4 5 9 -7 17
15 Getafe 17 4 5 8 -8 17
16 Las Palmas 18 4 5 9 -8 17
17 Granada 18 4 5 9 -12 17
18 Sp Gijon 16 4 3 9 -10 15
19 Vallecano 18 4 3 11 -21 15
20 Levante 18 2 5 11 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Getafe
1–0 A. Sanabria
Guerrero
16′
25′
🟨 Damián Suárez
Isma López 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Juan Cala
Jorge Meré 🟨
57′
65′
🔁 Wamberto
↦ Pedro León
Lora 🔁
↦ Guerrero
67′
69′
Juan Cala 1–1
Pablo Sarabia
71′
Pablo Sarabia 1–2
S. Šćepović
Carlos Castro 🔁
↦ Isma López
75′
79′
🔁 Álvaro Vázquez
↦ S. Šćepović
Álex Barrera 🔁
↦ A. Sanabria
82′
89′
🟨 Wanderson
Alen Halilović 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 K. Yoda
↦ Víctor Rodríguez
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 B. Espinosa D
2 Luis Hernández D
28 Jorge Meré D
18 Isma López M
10 Nacho Cases M
17 Omar Mascarell M
25 A. Halilović M
9 Guerrero F
23 Jony M
20 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
11 Lora
16 Carlos Castro
8 Álex Barrera
3 Álex Menéndez
13 Alberto García
19 Carlos Carmona
24 R. Aït-Atmane

Getafe

13 Guaita G
19 D. Suárez D
6 Juan Cala D
3 Roberto Lago D
5 S. Vergini D
22 Juan Rodríguez M
14 Pedro León M
8 M. Lacen M
10 Pablo Sarabia M
12 S. Šćepović F
18 Víctor Rodríguez M
Bench (7)
30 Wamberto
9 Álvaro Vázquez
11 K. Yoda
1 B. Megyeri
4 E. Velázquez
15 Carlos Vigaray
17 B. Mensah

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.