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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Real Madrid

S S T T S

4–1

Full-time

Getafe

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Getafe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 47%

62%

31%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 35%

38%

31%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Getafe 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	0	2	+21	33
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
3	Real Madrid	13	8	3	2	+17	27
4	Celta	13	7	3	3	+3	24
5	La Coruna	13	5	6	2	+7	21
6	Villarreal	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Ath Bilbao	13	6	2	5	+5	20
8	Eibar	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Valencia	13	5	4	4	+7	19
10	Sevilla	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Betis	13	5	3	5	-5	18
12	Espanol	13	5	1	7	-10	16
13	Getafe	13	4	2	7	-5	14
14	Vallecano	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Sociedad	13	3	3	7	-4	12
16	Sp Gijon	13	3	3	7	-8	12
17	Granada	13	2	5	6	-7	11
18	Malaga	13	2	4	7	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	13	2	4	7	-9	10
20	Levante	13	2	4	7	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+17	21
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Sevilla	7	5	0	2	+5	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Getafe	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
8	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
9	Celta	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Vallecano	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Espanol	6	3	1	2	-3	10
13	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+4	9
14	Malaga	7	2	3	2	+2	9
15	Las Palmas	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Levante	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Sociedad	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Granada	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Betis	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+10	14
2	Betis	7	4	2	1	+0	14
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Celta	6	4	1	1	+2	13
5	Barcelona	6	4	0	2	+4	12
6	La Coruna	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Eibar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Ath Bilbao	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Valencia	7	2	1	4	+0	7
11	Sociedad	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Sp Gijon	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Espanol	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Levante	6	1	1	4	-9	4
17	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Las Palmas	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Getafe	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.