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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Leganes
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 14. · Sociedad 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 9 6 3 0 +15 21
2 Sevilla 9 6 2 1 +5 20
3 Barcelona 9 6 1 2 +17 19
4 Villarreal 9 5 4 0 +11 19
5 Ath Madrid 9 5 3 1 +17 18
6 Ath Bilbao 9 5 0 4 +2 15
7 Sociedad 9 4 1 4 +2 13
8 Celta 9 4 1 4 -4 13
9 Las Palmas 9 3 3 3 +2 12
10 Malaga 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Eibar 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Betis 9 3 2 4 -8 11
13 Alaves 9 2 4 3 -2 10
14 Leganes 9 3 1 5 -8 10
15 Valencia 9 3 0 6 -5 9
16 Espanol 9 1 5 3 -5 8
17 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
18 Sp Gijon 9 2 2 5 -11 8
19 Osasuna 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Granada 9 0 3 6 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Sociedad
Miguel Ángel Guerrero 🟨
15′
Rubén Pérez 🟨
18′
29′
Willian José 0–1
Carlos Martínez
David Timor 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–1
Unai López 🔁
↦ Timor
46′
Diego Rico 🟨
55′
59′
Xabi Prieto 0–2
62′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
Alberto 🔁
↦ Gabriel
69′
Rober Ibáñez 🔁
↦ Omar Ramos
73′
75′
🟨 David Zurutuza
80′
🔁 Canales
↦ C. Vela
Carl Medjani 🟨
84′
88′
🔁 Juanmi
↦ Willian José
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
13 Serantes G
12 C. Medjani D
17 Víctor Díaz D
18 Pablo Ínsua D
15 Diego Rico D
23 Omar Ramos M
21 Rubén Pérez M
24 Timor M
8 Gabriel M
11 A. Szymanowski M
9 Guerrero F
Bench (7)
19 Unai López
6 Alberto
16 Rober Ibáñez
1 A. Brignoli
3 Bustinza
5 M. Mantovani
7 D. Machís

Coach: Asier Garitano

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
2 Carlos Martínez D
19 Yuri D
22 Raúl Navas D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
11 C. Vela F
12 Willian José F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
16 Canales
7 Juanmi
3 Mikel González
14 Rubén Pardo
15 Aritz Elustondo
24 David Concha
25 Toño

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.