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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Ath Bilbao

S S S S T

3–2

Full-time

Sociedad

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Sociedad 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	8	5	3	0	+14	18
3	Sevilla	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	+16	16
5	Villarreal	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Las Palmas	8	3	3	2	+3	12
7	Ath Bilbao	7	4	0	3	+2	12
8	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Alaves	8	2	4	2	+1	10
10	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Celta	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Betis	8	2	2	4	-9	8
16	Espanol	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	1	4	-10	7
18	Valencia	7	2	0	5	-5	6
19	Osasuna	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Granada	8	0	2	6	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+7	7
6	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Malaga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Alaves	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Celta	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	-3	6
15	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
16	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Villarreal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Sevilla	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Celta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Betis	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Sp Gijon	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Granada	4	0	1	3	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.