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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Malaga

S S T S S

4–2

Full-time

Sevilla

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 44%

29%

59%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

44%

59%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

62%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 13. · Sevilla 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	35	25	6	4	+71	81
2	Real Madrid	34	25	6	3	+53	81
3	Ath Madrid	35	21	8	6	+40	71
4	Sevilla	34	20	8	6	+20	68
5	Villarreal	35	18	9	8	+24	63
6	Ath Bilbao	35	19	5	11	+13	62
7	Sociedad	35	19	4	12	+6	61
8	Eibar	35	15	9	11	+9	54
9	Espanol	35	13	11	11	-2	50
10	Alaves	35	12	12	11	-5	48
11	Celta	34	13	5	16	-8	44
12	Valencia	35	11	7	17	-11	40
13	Malaga	34	10	9	15	-9	39
14	Las Palmas	35	10	9	16	-14	39
15	Betis	35	10	7	18	-19	37
16	La Coruna	35	7	11	17	-20	32
17	Leganes	35	7	9	19	-23	30
18	Sp Gijon	35	5	9	21	-32	24
19	Granada	35	4	8	23	-46	20
20	Osasuna	35	3	10	22	-47	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	4	1	+25	43
2	Barcelona	17	13	3	1	+42	42
3	Ath Bilbao	18	13	3	2	+18	42
4	Sevilla	17	13	3	1	+18	42
5	Ath Madrid	17	12	2	3	+23	38
6	Villarreal	18	11	3	4	+17	36
7	Sociedad	18	10	4	4	+6	34
8	Las Palmas	18	9	6	3	+11	33
9	Eibar	18	10	3	5	+9	33
10	Espanol	18	8	5	5	+5	29
11	Celta	17	9	1	7	+1	28
12	Malaga	16	8	2	6	+4	26
13	Valencia	17	7	4	6	-1	25
14	Betis	18	6	6	6	-2	24
15	La Coruna	17	6	5	6	+2	23
16	Alaves	17	5	8	4	-5	23
17	Leganes	17	4	5	8	-5	17
18	Granada	17	4	4	9	-10	16
19	Sp Gijon	17	4	3	10	-13	15
20	Osasuna	18	1	7	10	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	3	3	+29	39
2	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+28	38
3	Ath Madrid	18	9	6	3	+17	33
4	Villarreal	17	7	6	4	+7	27
5	Sociedad	17	9	0	8	+0	27
6	Sevilla	17	7	5	5	+2	26
7	Alaves	18	7	4	7	+0	25
8	Eibar	17	5	6	6	+0	21
9	Espanol	17	5	6	6	-7	21
10	Ath Bilbao	17	6	2	9	-5	20
11	Celta	17	4	4	9	-9	16
12	Valencia	18	4	3	11	-10	15
13	Malaga	18	2	7	9	-13	13
14	Betis	17	4	1	12	-17	13
15	Leganes	18	3	4	11	-18	13
16	Sp Gijon	18	1	6	11	-19	9
17	La Coruna	18	1	6	11	-22	9
18	Osasuna	17	2	3	12	-30	9
19	Las Palmas	17	1	3	13	-25	6
20	Granada	18	0	4	14	-36	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.