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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
Leganes
S U U S S
1–2
Full-time
Getafe
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
0,5
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 3. · Getafe 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Leganes 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Valencia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Girona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Betis 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Getafe 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 La Coruna 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Las Palmas 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Getafe
39′
M. Arambarri 0–1
Jorge Molina
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Amath Ndiaye
Erik Morán 🔁
↦ Eraso
53′
N. El Zhar 🔁
↦ Omar Ramos
62′
63′
🔁 Álvaro Jiménez
↦ G. Shibasaki
1–1 Guerrero
65′
70′
🟨 Juan Cala
Erik Morán 🟨
74′
78′
🔁 Sergio Mora
↦ A. Ndiaye
83′
Álvaro Jiménez 1–2
F. Fajr
C. Beauvue 🔁
↦ Gabriel
84′
89′
🔁 Bruno González
↦ M. Arambarri
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
19 E. Muñoz D
5 M. Mantovani D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
15 Diego Rico D
23 Omar Ramos M
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
8 Gabriel M
11 A. Szymanowski M
9 Guerrero F
Bench (7)
4 Erik Morán
10 N. El Zhar
12 C. Beauvue
2 Tito
13 N. Champagne
16 M. Dos Santos
24 D. Brašanac

Coach: Asier Garitano

Getafe

4-4-2
13 Guaita G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
16 Juan Cala D
2 D. Dakonam D
5 Bergara M
21 F. Fajr M
10 G. Shibasaki M
18 M. Arambarri M
19 Jorge Molina F
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
7 Álvaro Jiménez
14 Sergio Mora
4 Bruno González
1 E. Martínez
9 Ángel
12 Portillo
15 Molinero

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.