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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Villarreal
S T T S S
0–0
Full-time
Espanol
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
17 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 10. · Espanol 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Sevilla 5 4 1 0 +6 13
3 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Valencia 5 2 3 0 +6 9
5 Sociedad 4 3 0 1 +4 9
6 Betis 5 3 0 2 -1 9
7 Real Madrid 5 2 2 1 +4 8
8 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Leganes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Villarreal 4 2 0 2 +1 6
11 Levante 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Las Palmas 5 2 0 3 -3 6
13 Eibar 5 2 0 3 -7 6
14 Girona 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Getafe 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Celta 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Alaves 5 0 0 5 -8 0
20 Malaga 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Espanol
Carlos Bacca 🟨
31′
Cédric Bakambu 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 Óscar Melendo
↦ P. Piatti
R. Soriano 🔁
↦ D. Cheryshev
61′
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ C. Bacca
67′
68′
🔁 Sergio García
↦ Léo Baptistão
Manu Trigueros 🟨
71′
Álvaro González 🟨
74′
77′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
Pablo Fornals 🔁
↦ Trigueros
81′
Pablo Fornals 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Javi Fuego
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
25 M. Barbosa G
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
3 Álvaro González D
7 D. Cheryshev M
14 Trigueros M
10 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
9 C. Bacca F
17 C. Bakambu F
Bench (7)
20 R. Soriano
15 E. Ünal
8 Pablo Fornals
4 Rúben Semedo
18 N. Sansone
22 A. Rukavina
31 Ander Cantero

Coach: Fran Escribá

Espanol

4-4-1-1
1 Pau López G
22 Mario Hermoso D
3 Aarón Martín D
10 José Jurado M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
19 P. Piatti M
15 David López D
25 Sergi Darder M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
14 Óscar Melendo
9 Sergio García
5 Naldo
12 Dídac Vilá
13 Diego López
21 Marc Roca
24 Sergio Sánchez

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.