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La Liga
Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez
Celta
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Getafe
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
5 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 18. · Getafe 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Sevilla 5 4 1 0 +6 13
3 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Valencia 5 2 3 0 +6 9
5 Sociedad 4 3 0 1 +4 9
6 Betis 5 3 0 2 -1 9
7 Real Madrid 5 2 2 1 +4 8
8 Villarreal 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Leganes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Levante 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Las Palmas 5 2 0 3 -3 6
13 Eibar 5 2 0 3 -7 6
14 Girona 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Espanol 5 1 2 2 -5 5
16 Getafe 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -5 4
18 Celta 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Alaves 5 0 0 5 -8 0
20 Malaga 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Getafe
17′
🟨 Djené
1–0 M. Gómez
Hugo Mallo
25′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 Álvaro Jiménez
↦ F. Fajr
56′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Portillo
Jozabed Sánchez 🟨
57′
E. Mor 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
60′
66′
🟨 Vitorino Antunes
Maximiliano Gómez 🟨
69′
74′
🟨 Damián Suárez
S. Lobotka 🔁
↦ P. Sisto
74′
75′
🔁 J. Montero
↦ A. Ndiaye
D. Wass 🔁
↦ Jozabed
81′
86′
Ángel 1–1
Álvaro Jiménez
90′
🟨 Álvaro Jiménez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-3-3
1 Sergio Álvarez G
2 Hugo Mallo D
3 Fontàs D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
8 P. Hernández M
16 Jozabed M
26 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas F
11 P. Sisto M
7 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
21 E. Mor
14 S. Lobotka
18 D. Wass
13 Rubén Blanco
17 A. Hjulsager
22 G. Cabral
24 F. Roncaglia

Coach: Unzué

Getafe

4-2-3-1
13 Guaita G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
16 Juan Cala D
2 D. Dakonam D
5 Bergara M
21 F. Fajr M
12 Portillo M
18 M. Arambarri M
19 Jorge Molina F
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
7 Álvaro Jiménez
9 Ángel
24 J. Montero
1 E. Martínez
4 Bruno González
14 Sergio Mora
15 Molinero

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.