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Eliteserien
Referee: T Hagen
Stromsgodset
S T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Valerenga
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
55%
Both score Ø 69%
56%
82%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
5 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 12. · Valerenga 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 12 8 2 2 +16 26
2 Bodo/Glimt 13 7 3 3 +14 24
3 Valerenga 11 5 4 2 +7 19
4 Kristiansund 10 5 2 3 -1 17
5 Viking 11 5 2 4 -2 17
6 Rosenborg 12 4 4 4 +4 16
7 Odd 10 4 4 2 +4 16
8 Lillestrom 9 5 1 3 +1 16
9 Haugesund 9 4 3 2 +6 15
10 Sandefjord 9 4 0 5 -4 12
11 Sarpsborg 08 10 3 3 4 -4 12
12 Stromsgodset 9 3 2 4 -5 11
13 Tromso 11 2 3 6 -10 9
14 Mjondalen 9 1 4 4 -2 7
15 Stabaek 10 1 3 6 -11 6
16 Brann 11 1 2 8 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Valerenga
3′
🟨 Osame Sahraoui
1–0 F. Friday
T. Gulliksen
19′
Half-time 1–0
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen 🟨
50′
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ I. Jack
65′
67′
H. Bjørdal 1–1
79′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ A. Layouni
M. Maigaard 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
81′
82′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ T. Christensen
M. Mawa 🔁
↦ L. Vilsvik
84′
90′
🟨 Sam Adekugbe
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 V. Myhra G
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
2 A. Leifsson D
22 P. Mendy D
7 H. Stengel M
19 H. Stenevik M
8 J. Hove M
6 I. Jack M
17 T. Gulliksen M
9 F. Friday F
Bench (8)
11 K. Tokstad
20 M. Maigaard
10 M. Mawa
80 A. Nyhagen
3 J. Parr
40 M. Sætra
70 S. Hanssen
23 V. Ingimundarson

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
7 F. Jensen M
8 H. Bjørdal M
11 A. Layouni F
14 H. Udahl F
17 T. Christensen F
26 O. Sahraoui M
Bench (9)
15 O. Holm
19 S. Jatta
1 K. Haug
27 J. Eng
29 O. Opsahl
10 A. Dønnum
3 B. Skaret
16 M. Emilsen
18 F. Holmé

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Hagen · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.