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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Sarpsborg 08
U T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Molde
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 48%
22%
73%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
33%
73%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
55%
Average goals
2,1
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Molde 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 11 8 2 1 +17 26
2 Bodo/Glimt 13 7 3 3 +14 24
3 Valerenga 11 5 4 2 +7 19
4 Kristiansund 10 5 2 3 -1 17
5 Viking 11 5 2 4 -2 17
6 Rosenborg 11 4 3 4 +4 15
7 Odd 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Lillestrom 8 4 1 3 +0 13
9 Haugesund 8 3 3 2 +3 12
10 Sandefjord 9 4 0 5 -4 12
11 Stromsgodset 9 3 2 4 -5 11
12 Sarpsborg 08 9 2 3 4 -5 9
13 Tromso 10 2 3 5 -7 9
14 Mjondalen 8 1 4 3 -1 7
15 Stabaek 10 1 3 6 -11 6
16 Brann 11 1 2 8 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Joachim Thomassen 🟨
20′
Anton Saletros 🟨
34′
Joachim Soltvedt 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ O. Brynhildsen
S. Bojang 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
62′
S. Skålevik 🔁
↦ J. Soltvedt
62′
67′
🟨 Ohi Omoijuanfo
E. Pálsson 🔁
↦ L. Mendy
68′
68′
🔁 M. Eikrem
↦ E. Hussain
68′
🔁 E. Knudtzon
↦ S. Gregersen
1–0 S. Skålevik
74′
78′
🔁 K. Haugen
↦ B. Risa
79′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ E. Andersen
S. Jarl 🔁
↦ I. Koné
84′
Anton Saletros 🟨
88′
Anton Saletros 🟥
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
21 A. Kristiansen G
16 J. Thomassen M
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss M
28 B. Karamoko D
4 B. Utvik D
7 O. Halvorsen F
17 J. Soltvedt M
20 A. Salétros F
19 L. Mendy M
29 I. Koné F
Bench (9)
2 S. Bojang
25 S. Skålevik
14 E. Pálsson
18 S. Jarl
11 J. Lindseth
23 E. Derviskadic
22 K. Opseth
1 S. Nilsen
32 E. Wichne

Coach: L. Bohinen

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
2 M. Bjørnbak D
6 S. Gregersen D
3 B. Risa D
5 S. Sinyan D
25 E. Breivik M
16 E. Hussain M
23 E. Andersen M
17 F. Aursnes M
22 O. Brynhildsen M
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (7)
19 E. Hestad
7 M. Eikrem
14 E. Knudtzon
28 K. Haugen
30 M. Bolly
15 M. Grødem
34 O. Petersen

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.