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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Genoa
U S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Verona
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,2
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,2
This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 26%
30%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
24%
61%
Both score Ø 32%
33%
30%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 12. · Verona 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 34 27 4 3 +58 85
2 Napoli 34 26 6 2 +48 84
3 Lazio 34 20 7 7 +40 67
4 Roma 34 20 7 7 +28 67
5 Inter 34 18 12 4 +33 66
6 Atalanta 34 15 10 9 +17 55
7 Milan 34 15 9 10 +6 54
8 Fiorentina 34 14 9 11 +9 51
9 Sampdoria 34 15 6 13 -2 51
10 Torino 34 11 14 9 +7 47
11 Bologna 34 11 6 17 -7 39
12 Genoa 33 10 8 15 -7 38
13 Sassuolo 34 9 10 15 -28 37
14 Udinese 34 10 3 21 -13 33
15 Cagliari 34 9 6 19 -26 33
16 Chievo 34 7 10 17 -23 31
17 Crotone 34 8 7 19 -27 31
18 Spal 34 5 14 15 -25 29
19 Verona 33 7 4 22 -39 25
20 Benevento 34 5 2 27 -49 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Verona
1–0 Iuri Medeiros ⚽
D. Laxalt
6′
Isaac Cofie 🟨
13′
29′
🟨 Andrea Danzi
33′
🟨 Mattia Valoti
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Alessio Cerci
58′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ S. Souprayen
63′
🔁 B. Petković
↦ Ryder Matos
Oscar Hiljemark 🟨
64′
64′
⚽ Rômulo 1–1
Daniel Bessa 🔁
↦ I. Cofie
65′
2–1 Daniel Bessa ⚽
D. Lazović
78′
79′
🔁 Lee Seung-Woo
↦ E. Bearzotti
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ Iuri Medeiros
81′
G. Rossi 🔁
↦ G. Lapadula
86′
3–1 G. Pandev ⚽
D. Lazović
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
1 M. Perin G
13 L. Rossettini D
87 E. Zukanović D
14 D. Biraschi D
22 D. Lazović M
8 A. Bertolacci M
4 I. Cofie M
88 O. Hiljemark M
93 D. Laxalt M
10 G. Lapadula F
45 Iuri Medeiros F
Bench (12)
24 Daniel Bessa
19 G. Pandev
49 G. Rossi
16 A. Galabinov
17 J. El Yamiq
18 F. Migliore
20 A. Rosi
23 E. Lamanna
30 L. Rigoni
38 L. Zima
40 S. Omeonga
44 Miguel Veloso

Coach: D. Ballardini

Verona

4-3-3
1 Nicolas G
69 S. Souprayen D
26 J. Vuković D
12 A. Caracciolo D
93 M. Fares D
2 Rômulo M
27 M. Valoti M
37 E. Bearzotti F
72 A. Danzi M
10 A. Cerci F
30 Ryder Matos F
Bench (11)
7 D. Verde
70 B. Petković
21 Lee Seung-Woo
8 M. Fossati
14 F. Zuculini
17 M. Silvestri
23 S. Calvano
29 Ľ. Tupta
40 F. Coppola
75 T. Heurtaux
97 G. Felicioli

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.