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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Bologna

S U S S T

4–1

Full-time

Parma

U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 26%

26%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

54%

51%

Both score Ø 50%

49%

51%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

13 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 15. · Parma 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	36	28	5	3	+42	89
2	Napoli	36	23	7	6	+36	76
3	Atalanta	36	19	8	9	+29	65
4	Inter	35	18	9	8	+24	63
5	Roma	36	17	11	8	+17	62
6	Milan	36	17	11	8	+16	62
7	Torino	36	15	15	6	+16	60
8	Lazio	36	17	7	12	+12	58
9	Sampdoria	36	14	7	15	+7	49
10	Sassuolo	36	9	15	12	-5	42
11	Spal	36	11	9	16	-10	42
12	Fiorentina	36	8	16	12	+3	40
13	Cagliari	36	10	10	16	-17	40
14	Parma	35	9	11	15	-17	38
15	Bologna	35	9	10	16	-12	37
16	Udinese	36	9	10	17	-16	37
17	Genoa	36	8	12	16	-18	36
18	Empoli	36	9	8	19	-21	35
19	Frosinone	36	5	9	22	-38	24
20	Chievo	35	2	12	21	-48	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	3	0	+26	48
2	Napoli	18	12	4	2	+22	40
3	Roma	18	11	5	2	+16	38
4	Milan	18	11	4	3	+12	37
5	Torino	18	11	2	5	+11	35
6	Atalanta	18	9	5	4	+15	32
7	Inter	17	9	5	3	+14	32
8	Lazio	18	9	4	5	+11	31
9	Cagliari	18	8	6	4	+4	30
10	Sampdoria	18	9	2	7	+10	29
11	Empoli	18	8	3	7	+0	27
12	Udinese	18	7	5	6	-1	26
13	Bologna	17	7	4	6	+2	25
14	Genoa	18	6	7	5	-1	25
15	Sassuolo	18	5	9	4	+0	24
16	Fiorentina	18	5	8	5	+6	23
17	Spal	18	5	7	6	-5	22
18	Parma	18	4	7	7	-8	19
19	Chievo	18	1	6	11	-23	9
20	Frosinone	18	1	5	12	-24	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	13	2	3	+16	41
2	Napoli	18	11	3	4	+14	36
3	Atalanta	18	10	3	5	+14	33
4	Inter	18	9	4	5	+10	31
5	Lazio	18	8	3	7	+1	27
6	Torino	18	4	13	1	+5	25
7	Milan	18	6	7	5	+4	25
8	Roma	18	6	6	6	+1	24
9	Sampdoria	18	5	5	8	-3	20
10	Spal	18	6	2	10	-5	20
11	Parma	17	5	4	8	-9	19
12	Sassuolo	18	4	6	8	-5	18
13	Fiorentina	18	3	8	7	-3	17
14	Frosinone	18	4	4	10	-14	16
15	Bologna	18	2	6	10	-14	12
16	Udinese	18	2	5	11	-15	11
17	Genoa	18	2	5	11	-17	11
18	Cagliari	18	2	4	12	-21	10
19	Chievo	17	1	6	10	-25	9
20	Empoli	18	1	5	12	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.