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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Ham-Kam
U U T S S
3–2
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
2,5
3,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,2
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

29% Possession 71%
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 9. · Sarpsborg 08 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 11 8 3 0 +16 27
2 Molde 11 8 1 2 +11 25
3 Viking 13 6 3 4 +7 21
4 Rosenborg 11 4 5 2 +5 17
5 Stromsgodset 11 5 2 4 -3 17
6 Sarpsborg 08 10 5 1 4 +10 16
7 Bodo/Glimt 10 4 4 2 +6 16
8 Aalesund 11 4 4 3 -1 16
9 Ham-Kam 10 2 6 2 +2 12
10 Sandefjord 9 4 0 5 -3 12
11 Tromso 10 2 6 2 -3 12
12 Haugesund 12 3 3 6 -4 12
13 Odd 11 4 0 7 -7 12
14 Valerenga 11 3 2 6 -9 11
15 Jerv 10 2 1 7 -14 7
16 Kristiansund 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Sarpsborg 08
14′
H. Kuruçay 1–0
own goal
2–0 A. Melgalvis
K. Eriksen
16′
18′
🟨 Jørgen Horn
42′
J. Lindseth 2–1
M. Maigaard
3–1 K. Eriksen
V. Kongsro
44′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 J. Enkerud
65′
Aleksander Melgalvis 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ O. Halvorsen
K. Hernández-Foster 🔁
↦ F. Sjølstad
79′
E. Dašķevičs 🔁
↦ K. Onsrud
84′
Eduards Daskevics 🟨
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

3-5-2
96 N. Hagen G
33 A. Melgalvis M
2 V. Kongsro M
58 H. Kuruçay D
8 V. Skjærvik D
14 H. Rødølen D
23 F. Sjølstad M
7 K. Onsrud M
6 K. Eriksen M
9 J. Enkerud F
16 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (9)
22 K. Hernández-Foster
73 E. Dašķevičs
21 B. Thoresen
12 C. Bayiha
25 J. Rasen
3 F. Faerrón
10 E. Sildnes
77 Y. Yakovenko
1 L. Jendal

Coach: J. Michelsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
1 S. Nilsen G
3 J. Horn D
4 B. Utvik D
7 O. Halvorsen D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard M
11 J. Lindseth M
41 T. Heintz M
8 G. Molins F
Bench (7)
32 E. Wichne
22 K. Opseth
6 M. Høyland
5 M. Ødegaard
19 L. Mendy
15 S. Skålevik
40 L. Øy

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.