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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Stromsgodset
S U S T T
3–0
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 59%
45%
73%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Stromsgodset 5. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 11 8 3 0 +16 27
2 Molde 11 8 1 2 +11 25
3 Viking 13 6 3 4 +7 21
4 Rosenborg 11 4 5 2 +5 17
5 Stromsgodset 11 5 2 4 -3 17
6 Sarpsborg 08 10 5 1 4 +10 16
7 Bodo/Glimt 10 4 4 2 +6 16
8 Aalesund 11 4 4 3 -1 16
9 Ham-Kam 10 2 6 2 +2 12
10 Sandefjord 9 4 0 5 -3 12
11 Tromso 10 2 6 2 -3 12
12 Haugesund 12 3 3 6 -4 12
13 Odd 11 4 0 7 -7 12
14 Valerenga 11 3 2 6 -9 11
15 Jerv 10 2 1 7 -14 7
16 Kristiansund 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Lillestrom
Lars Christopher Vilsvik 🟨
13′
13′
🟨 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
22′
🟨 Espen Bjornsen Garnas
30′
🟨 Igoh Ogbu
Half-time 1–0
1–0 I. Jack
H. Stengel
53′
64′
🔁 K. Kairinen
↦ E. Garnås
64′
🔁 F. Holst
↦ L. Ranger
65′
🟨 Frederik Holst
A. Thorsen 🔁
↦ I. Jack
67′
74′
🔁 P. Helland
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
74′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ A. Adams
N. Gunnarsson 🔁
↦ T. Grøgaard
75′
2–0 K. Tokstad
76′
Viljar Myhra 🟨
81′
F. Friday 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
81′
82′
🟥 Gjermund Åsen
87′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ M. Knudsen
Herman Stengel 🟨
93′
3–0 L. Salvesen
T. Gulliksen
97′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 V. Myhra G
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
4 T. Grøgaard D
2 A. Leifsson D
11 K. Tokstad F
10 H. Stengel M
8 J. Hove M
6 I. Jack M
17 T. Gulliksen F
88 L. Salvesen F
Bench (7)
66 A. Thorsen
5 N. Gunnarsson
9 F. Friday
18 E. Boahene
3 S. Hanssen
43 J. Therkelsen
40 M. Sætra

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Lillestrom

3-4-2-1
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes D
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh M
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
6 K. Kairinen
77 F. Holst
7 P. Helland
21 H. Friðjónsson
11 T. Svendsen
1 K. Skjærstein
15 E. Taylor
22 P. Slørdahl
3 C. Rösler

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.