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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Monaco
S U S T S
2–2
Full-time
Guingamp
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
18 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -16 Monaco – Guingamp 3–2 27. Sep -15 Guingamp – Monaco 3–3

Match report

Monaco Guingamp
12′
🟨 Jordan Ikoko
14′
🟨 Moustapha Diallo
29′
⚽ M. Diallo 0–1
Benjamin Mendy 🟨
32′
37′
⚽ S. Privat 0–2
L. Deaux
Bernardo Silva 🔁
↦ K. Mbappe Lottin
41′
Half-time 0–2
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ T. Bakayoko
64′
64′
🔁 L. Blas
↦ S. Privat
Nabil Dirar 🟨
65′
70′
🟨 Ludovic Blas
1–2 Fabinho ⚽
71′
76′
🟨 Christophe Kerbrat
João Moutinho 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
80′
80′
🔁 T. Giresse
↦ Y. Salibur
2–2 Bernardo Silva ⚽
N. Dirar
84′
88′
🔁 A. Mané
↦ M. Coco
Fabinho 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
23 B. Mendy D
2 Fabinho M
5 Jemerson D
7 N. Dirar M
14 T. Bakayoko M
27 T. Lemar M
11 G. Carrillo F
29 K. Mbappe Lottin F
Bench (7)
10 Bernardo Silva
17 Ivan Cavaleiro
8 João Moutinho
24 A. Raggi
28 C. Jean
20 A. Traoré
40 L. Badiashile

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Guingamp

4-2-2-2
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
4 B. Angoua D
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
5 M. Diallo M
8 L. Deaux M
24 M. Coco M
23 J. Briand F
11 S. Privat F
19 Y. Salibur M
Bench (7)
21 L. Blas
26 T. Giresse
32 A. Mané
31 J. Livolant
33 J. Correia Da Fonseca
30 R. Salin
12 N. De Pauw

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.