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Championship

Referee: Andy Madley

Brighton

U U T U U

3–0

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

7,0

Scored

0,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

18 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

7 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 15. · Nott'm Forest 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.